Molde 2–2 Viking: Result & Stats | Friendlies Clubs

Molde

FT

2 – 2

HT: 0 – 1

Viking

Unknown 66', 61'

A. Baertelsen 54'

O. Visted 29'

2/17/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Molde46%

×Draw22%

Viking32%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

MoldeExpected goals in this matchViking

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.89

1.56

Molde

1.89

Viking

1.56

Molde creates 21% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 13 away

2.32

creates per match

2.00

1.11

allows per match

1.46

creates per match

Molde

2.32

Viking

2.00

allows per match

Molde

1.11

Viking

1.46

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Molde+0.00on par

Viking+0.00on par

Total goals

Over67
Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes67
No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Molde ↓

Viking →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–15%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–19%

1–27%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–34%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

86%14%2.5

67%33%3.5

45%55%4.5

26%74%

Double chance

Molde or draw

68%

Molde or Viking

78%

Draw or Viking

54%

Winning margin

Molde wins by 2+

25%

Viking wins by 2+

15%

Team goals

Molde 1+ goals

85%

Molde 2+ goals

56%

Molde 3+ goals

29%

Viking 1+ goals

79%

Viking 2+ goals

46%

Viking 3+ goals

21%

Draw no bet

Molde (draw refunded)

59%

Viking (draw refunded)

41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

58%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Molde at home — creates 2.32, concedes 1.11 · 19 matches

Viking away — creates 2.00, concedes 1.46 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Molde attack 2.32 + Viking defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.89

Viking attack 2.00 + Molde defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Molde scores more

46%

level

22%

Viking scores more

32%

Molde at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Molde will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

29'

O. Visted

47'

54'

A. Baertelsen

61'

66'

Molde

Viking

⚽

⚽

Manager: Magne Hoseth

Molde substitutes

LervikOyvannHestadAmundsenGranaasTveitenKabiniBenderHansenGosikIsufi

Manager: Bjarte Aarsheim

Viking substitutes

OstboFlorenaesAuklendFalchenerDebesBjorsholStensnessMoiKvia-EgeskogAskildsenMiddelthonFrimpongTripicMikaelsson

Match Recap: Molde vs Viking

Molde and Viking drew 2-2 in Friendlies Clubs on February 17, 2026.

Goals: O. Visted (29'), A. Baertelsen (54'), ? (61', 66').

Molde vs Viking — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Molde vs Viking