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ŁKS Łódź vs Korona Kielce — Friendlies Clubs 2026

ŁKS Łódź
ŁKS Łódź
CANC
15:30
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
7/17/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

ŁKS Łódź52%
×Draw22%
Korona Kielce27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

ŁKS Łódź
2.00
Korona Kielce
1.39

ŁKS Łódź creates 44% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 6 away

creates per match

ŁKS Łódź
1.82
Korona Kielce
1.33

allows per match

ŁKS Łódź
1.45
Korona Kielce
2.17

finishing

ŁKS Łódź+0.00on par
Korona Kielce+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

ŁKS Łódź ↓

Korona Kielce →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–19%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

ŁKS Łódź or draw
73%
ŁKS Łódź or Korona Kielce
78%
Draw or Korona Kielce
48%

Winning margin

ŁKS Łódź wins by 2+
30%
Korona Kielce wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

ŁKS Łódź 1+ goals
86%
ŁKS Łódź 2+ goals
59%
ŁKS Łódź 3+ goals
32%
Korona Kielce 1+ goals
75%
Korona Kielce 2+ goals
40%
Korona Kielce 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

ŁKS Łódź (draw refunded)
66%
Korona Kielce (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
55%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

ŁKS Łódź at home — creates 1.82, concedes 1.45 · 11 matches

Korona Kielce away — creates 1.33, concedes 2.17 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

ŁKS Łódź attack 1.82 + Korona Kielce defence 2.17 → ÷2 → 2.00

Korona Kielce attack 1.33 + ŁKS Łódź defence 1.45 → ÷2 → 1.39

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

ŁKS Łódź scores more
52%
level
22%
Korona Kielce scores more
27%

ŁKS Łódź at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "ŁKS Łódź will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: ŁKS Łódź host Korona Kielce

July 17, 2021: ŁKS Łódź take on Korona Kielce in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

ŁKS Łódź host Korona Kielce at Stadion Miejski LKS Lodz.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.