Kristiansund BK 1–1 Ham-Kam: Result & Stats

Kristiansund BK

FT

1 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Ham-Kam

L. Alvheim 60'

E. Amundsen-Day 90'

5/3/2026

Eliteserien · Round 7Kristiansund Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 26+ matches

Kristiansund BK42%

×Draw25%

Ham-Kam33%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Kristiansund BKExpected goals in this matchHam-Kam

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.54

1.34

Kristiansund BK

1.54

Ham-Kam

1.34

Kristiansund BK creates 15% more chances

Season form · 26 home / 26 away

1.29

creates per match

1.03

1.65

allows per match

1.78

creates per match

Kristiansund BK

1.29

Ham-Kam

1.03

allows per match

Kristiansund BK

1.65

Ham-Kam

1.78

-0.06on par

finishing

-0.18scores less than expected

finishing

Kristiansund BK-0.06on par

Ham-Kam-0.18scores less

Total goals

Over55
Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes58
No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kristiansund BK ↓

Ham-Kam →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

55%45%3.5

32%68%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

Kristiansund BK or draw

67%

Kristiansund BK or Ham-Kam

75%

Draw or Ham-Kam

58%

Winning margin

Kristiansund BK wins by 2+

21%

Ham-Kam wins by 2+

15%

Team goals

Kristiansund BK 1+ goals

79%

Kristiansund BK 2+ goals

45%

Kristiansund BK 3+ goals

20%

Ham-Kam 1+ goals

74%

Ham-Kam 2+ goals

39%

Ham-Kam 3+ goals

15%

Draw no bet

Kristiansund BK (draw refunded)

56%

Ham-Kam (draw refunded)

44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

46%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kristiansund BK at home — creates 1.29, concedes 1.65 · 26 matches

Ham-Kam away — creates 1.03, concedes 1.78 · 26 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kristiansund BK attack 1.29 + Ham-Kam defence 1.78 → ÷2 → 1.54

Ham-Kam attack 1.03 + Kristiansund BK defence 1.65 → ÷2 → 1.34

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Kristiansund BK scores more

42%

level

25%

Ham-Kam scores more

33%

Kristiansund BK at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Kristiansund BK will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

3

F. Flex

Kristiansund BK · D

7.3

Match Events

44'

Viðar Ari Jónsson

60'

L. Alvheim

64'

A. Trondsen← P. Metcalfe

64'

W. Osnes-Ringen← L. Mettler

74'

T. Svendsen← A. Ronning

74'

M. Johnsgard← H. Udahl

78'

Anders Trondsen

79'

Frederik Flex

84'

J. Isaksen← M. Isah

84'

N. Odegard← L. Alvheim

86'

S. Nilsen← V. Jonsson

86'

I. Kukleci← A. Potur

90'

Wilfred George Igor

90+2'

N. Skuseth← H. Bruseth

90+2'

P. Meliga← S. Kilen

90'

E. Amundsen-Day↳ A. Ekeroth

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

KristiansundHam-Kam

Overview

59%Possession41%

10Total Shots7

1.11Expected Goals (xG)0.79

4Corners3

6Fouls14

Shots

10Total Shots7

5On Target1

3Off Target4

2Blocked2

5Inside Box5

5Outside Box2

Passing

59%Possession41%

568Total Passes396

492Accurate Passes310

87%Pass Accuracy78%

Goalkeeping

0Saves4

0.30Goals Prevented0.30

Discipline

6Fouls14

2Yellow Cards2

3Offsides0

Eliteserien: Kristiansund BK 1–1 Ham-Kam

Kristiansund BK and Ham-Kam drew 1-1 in Eliteserien on May 3, 2026.

Goals: L. Alvheim (60'), E. Amundsen-Day (90').

Kristiansund BK controlled possession (59%) and registered 10 shots to 7.

The match was played at Kristiansund Stadion in Kristiansund.

Kristiansund BK vs Ham-Kam — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Eliteserien: Kristiansund BK 1–1 Ham-Kam