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Korona Kielce vs ŁKS Łódź — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
Canc
18:00
ŁKS Łódź
ŁKS Łódź
2/11/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Korona Kielce48%
×Draw29%
ŁKS Łódź23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Korona Kielce
1.31
ŁKS Łódź
0.81

Korona Kielce creates 62% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 4 away

creates per match

Korona Kielce
1.13
ŁKS Łódź
0.75

allows per match

Korona Kielce
0.87
ŁKS Łódź
1.50

finishing

Korona Kielce+0.00on par
ŁKS Łódź+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Under
  • Under64
  • Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

59%No
  • No59
  • Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Korona Kielce ↓

ŁKS Łódź →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
63%37%2.5
36%64%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Korona Kielce or draw
77%
Korona Kielce or ŁKS Łódź
71%
Draw or ŁKS Łódź
52%

Winning margin

Korona Kielce wins by 2+
23%
ŁKS Łódź wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Korona Kielce 1+ goals
73%
Korona Kielce 2+ goals
38%
Korona Kielce 3+ goals
14%
ŁKS Łódź 1+ goals
56%
ŁKS Łódź 2+ goals
19%
ŁKS Łódź 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Korona Kielce (draw refunded)
68%
ŁKS Łódź (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
28%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Korona Kielce at home — creates 1.13, concedes 0.87 · 15 matches

ŁKS Łódź away — creates 0.75, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Korona Kielce attack 1.13 + ŁKS Łódź defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.31

ŁKS Łódź attack 0.75 + Korona Kielce defence 0.87 → ÷2 → 0.81

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Korona Kielce scores more
48%
level
29%
ŁKS Łódź scores more
23%

Korona Kielce at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Korona Kielce will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Korona Kielce host ŁKS Łódź

February 11, 2024: Korona Kielce take on ŁKS Łódź in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Korona Kielce host ŁKS Łódź at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.