KFUM Oslo 0–2 Viking: Result & Stats | Eliteserien

KFUM Oslo

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 1

Viking

P. Christiansen 79', 2'

5/10/2026

Eliteserien · Round 8KFUM Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 29+ matches

KFUM Oslo33%

×Draw26%

Viking41%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

KFUM OsloExpected goals in this matchViking

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.23

1.41

KFUM Oslo

1.23

Viking

1.41

Viking creates 15% more chances

Season form · 29 home / 30 away

1.40

creates per match

1.75

1.07

allows per match

1.05

creates per match

KFUM Oslo

1.40

Viking

1.75

allows per match

KFUM Oslo

1.07

Viking

1.05

-0.16scores less than expected

finishing

+0.22scores more than expected

finishing

KFUM Oslo-0.16scores less

Viking+0.22scores more

Total goals

Under51
Over49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

KFUM Oslo ↓

Viking →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–110%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–29%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–25%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

74%26%2.5

49%51%3.5

27%73%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

KFUM Oslo or draw

59%

KFUM Oslo or Viking

74%

Draw or Viking

67%

Winning margin

KFUM Oslo wins by 2+

14%

Viking wins by 2+

19%

Team goals

KFUM Oslo 1+ goals

71%

KFUM Oslo 2+ goals

35%

KFUM Oslo 3+ goals

13%

Viking 1+ goals

76%

Viking 2+ goals

41%

Viking 3+ goals

17%

Draw no bet

KFUM Oslo (draw refunded)

44%

Viking (draw refunded)

56%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

KFUM Oslo at home — creates 1.40, concedes 1.07 · 29 matches

Viking away — creates 1.75, concedes 1.05 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

KFUM Oslo attack 1.40 + Viking defence 1.05 → ÷2 → 1.23

Viking attack 1.75 + KFUM Oslo defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.41

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

KFUM Oslo scores more

33%

level

26%

Viking scores more

41%

Viking at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Viking will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

25

H. Falchener

Viking · D

8.7

Match Events

2'

P. Christiansen↳ H. Heggheim

28'

E. Saunes← F. Berglie

32'

42'

42'

46'

56'

V. Auklend← K. Haugen

56'

N. Fuglestad← E. Austbo

60'

Daniel Schneider

61'

M. Vinjor← R. Rasch

64'

S. Bjorshol← H. Heggheim

64'

O. Visted← S. Kvia-Egeskog

71'

B. Njie← B. Kristensen

71'

D. Hickson← M. Eikrem

79'

P. Christiansen↳ Z. Tripic

82'

V. Berisha← P. Christiansen

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

KFUMViking

Overview

35%Possession65%

1Total Shots12

0.17Expected Goals (xG)2.12

4Corners6

13Fouls2

Shots

1Total Shots12

0On Target4

1Off Target5

0Blocked3

1Inside Box10

1Outside Box2

Passing

35%Possession65%

336Total Passes636

234Accurate Passes536

70%Pass Accuracy84%

Goalkeeping

2Saves0

0.00Goals Prevented0.00

Discipline

13Fouls2

3Yellow Cards0

1Red Cards0

1Offsides3

Match Recap: KFUM Oslo vs Viking

Viking beat KFUM Oslo 2-0 in Eliteserien on May 10, 2026.

Goals: P. Christiansen (2', 79').

Viking controlled possession (65%) and registered 12 shots to 1.

The match was played at KFUM Arena in Oslo.

KFUM Oslo vs Viking — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: KFUM Oslo vs Viking