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Huracan vs Central Cordoba de Santiago — Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Huracan
Huracan
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Central Cordoba de Santiago
F. Martinez 34'
10/22/2025Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional Argentina · 2nd Phase - 13Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 20+ matches

Huracan50%
×Draw29%
Central Cordoba de Santiago21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Huracan
1.28
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0.73

Huracan creates 75% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 21 away

creates per match

Huracan
1.12
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0.83

allows per match

Huracan
0.64
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1.44

finishing

Huracan-0.27scores less
Central Cordoba de Santiago+0.12scores more

Total goals

67%Under
  • Under67
  • Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

63%No
  • No63
  • Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huracan ↓

Central Cordoba de Santiago →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
60%40%2.5
33%67%3.5
14%86%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Huracan or draw
79%
Huracan or Central Cordoba de Santiago
71%
Draw or Central Cordoba de Santiago
50%

Winning margin

Huracan wins by 2+
23%
Central Cordoba de Santiago wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Huracan 1+ goals
72%
Huracan 2+ goals
37%
Huracan 3+ goals
14%
Central Cordoba de Santiago 1+ goals
52%
Central Cordoba de Santiago 2+ goals
17%
Central Cordoba de Santiago 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Huracan (draw refunded)
70%
Central Cordoba de Santiago (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
25%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huracan at home — creates 1.12, concedes 0.64 · 20 matches

Central Cordoba de Santiago away — creates 0.83, concedes 1.44 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huracan attack 1.12 + Central Cordoba de Santiago defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.28

Central Cordoba de Santiago attack 0.83 + Huracan defence 0.64 → ÷2 → 0.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Huracan scores more
50%
level
29%
Central Cordoba de Santiago scores more
21%

Huracan at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Huracan will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1
A. AguerreCentral Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago · G
8.9

Match Events

24'
Lucas Abascia
34'
F. Martinez↳ M. Perello
46'
L. Sequeira← A. Urzi
46'
F. Mansilla← S. Moyano
46'
F. Juarez← M. Perello
52'
Y. Casermeiro← L. Abascia
61'
T. Peralta← J. Bisanz
70'
I. .. Pillud← F. Martinez
73'
L. Lescano← C. Ibanez
73'
M. Tissera← E. Ojeda
81'
D. Barrera← G. Veron
90+4'
Matko Miljevic

Possession

60%Huracan

Shots

24Huracan

Pass accuracy

55%Huracan

Statistics

HuracanCentral
Overview
60%Possession40%
24Total Shots6
2.00Expected Goals (xG)0.87
8Corners2
7Fouls7
Shots
24Total Shots6
5On Target3
14Off Target2
5Blocked1
18Inside Box5
6Outside Box1
Passing
60%Possession40%
472Total Passes324
382Accurate Passes210
81%Pass Accuracy65%
Goalkeeping
2Saves5
0.94Goals Prevented0.94
Discipline
7Fouls7
1Yellow Cards1
1Offsides0

Match Recap: Huracan vs Central Cordoba de Santiago

Central Cordoba de Santiago beat Huracan 1-0 in Liga Profesional Argentina on October 22, 2025.

Goals: F. Martinez (34').

Huracan controlled possession (60%) and registered 24 shots to 6.

The match was played at Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó in Buenos Aires.