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Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Huracan — Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Central Cordoba de Santiago
Central Cordoba de Santiago
FT
1 – 2
HT: 1 – 1
Huracan
Huracan
L. Heredia 42' (pen)
M. Miljevic 58' (pen)
W. Mazzantti 32'
4/14/2025Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional Argentina · 1st Phase - 13Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 18+ matches

Central Cordoba de Santiago41%
×Draw31%
Huracan28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Central Cordoba de Santiago
1.10
Huracan
0.86

Central Cordoba de Santiago creates 28% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 18 away

creates per match

Central Cordoba de Santiago
1.17
Huracan
0.86

allows per match

Central Cordoba de Santiago
0.87
Huracan
1.03

finishing

Central Cordoba de Santiago+0.13scores more
Huracan+0.25scores more

Total goals

69%Under
  • Under69
  • Over31

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

62%No
  • No62
  • Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Central Cordoba de Santiago ↓

Huracan →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–014%
0–112%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
58%42%2.5
31%69%3.5
14%86%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Central Cordoba de Santiago or draw
72%
Central Cordoba de Santiago or Huracan
69%
Draw or Huracan
59%

Winning margin

Central Cordoba de Santiago wins by 2+
17%
Huracan wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Central Cordoba de Santiago 1+ goals
67%
Central Cordoba de Santiago 2+ goals
30%
Central Cordoba de Santiago 3+ goals
10%
Huracan 1+ goals
58%
Huracan 2+ goals
21%
Huracan 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Central Cordoba de Santiago (draw refunded)
59%
Huracan (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
25%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Central Cordoba de Santiago at home — creates 1.17, concedes 0.87 · 20 matches

Huracan away — creates 0.86, concedes 1.03 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Central Cordoba de Santiago attack 1.17 + Huracan defence 1.03 → ÷2 → 1.10

Huracan attack 0.86 + Central Cordoba de Santiago defence 0.87 → ÷2 → 0.86

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Central Cordoba de Santiago scores more
41%
level
31%
Huracan scores more
28%

Central Cordoba de Santiago at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Central Cordoba de Santiago will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

18
M. MiljevicHuracanHuracan · M
7.7

Match Events

14'
Fabio Pereyra
23'
Jonathan Galván
32'
W. Mazzantti
34'
Walter MazzanttiGoal confirmed
38'
G. Alanis← A. Urzi
40'
Lautaro RiveroPenalty confirmed
42'
L. HerediaPenalty
43'
Emmanuel Ojeda
56'
Jonathan Galván
58'
D. Glaby← M. Perello
58'
M. MiljevicPenalty
66'
V. Cantillo← E. Ojeda
66'
R. Cabral← W. Mazzantti
69'
D. Zalazar← G. Veron
69'
N. Quagliata← L. Angulo
69'
N. Funez← B. Cufre
72'
Hernán de la Fuente
77'
T. Guidara← H. De La Fuente
77'
R. Abila← L. Sequeira
86'
Rodrigo Cabral
89'
Santiago Moyano
90+6'
F. Cabral← J. I. Florentin Bobadilla

Possession

64%Central

Shots

11Central

Pass accuracy

53%Central

Statistics

CentralHuracan
Overview
64%Possession36%
11Total Shots10
5Corners2
9Fouls14
Shots
11Total Shots10
2On Target5
6Off Target1
3Blocked4
4Inside Box4
7Outside Box6
Passing
64%Possession36%
455Total Passes261
371Accurate Passes192
82%Pass Accuracy74%
Goalkeeping
3Saves1
Discipline
9Fouls14
2Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
1Offsides1

Match Recap: Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Huracan

Huracan beat Central Cordoba de Santiago 2-1 in Liga Profesional Argentina on April 14, 2025.

Goals: W. Mazzantti (32'), L. Heredia (42' pen), M. Miljevic (58' pen).

Central Cordoba de Santiago controlled possession (64%) and registered 11 shots to 10.

The match was played at Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades in Santiago del Estero.