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Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Huracan — Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Central Cordoba de Santiago
Central Cordoba de Santiago
FT
2 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Huracan
Huracan
L. Maciel 43'
L. Besozzi 24'
6/3/2023Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional Argentina · Round 19Estadio Alfredo Terrera

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 18+ matches

Central Cordoba de Santiago41%
×Draw31%
Huracan28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Central Cordoba de Santiago
1.10
Huracan
0.86

Central Cordoba de Santiago creates 28% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 18 away

creates per match

Central Cordoba de Santiago
1.17
Huracan
0.86

allows per match

Central Cordoba de Santiago
0.87
Huracan
1.03

finishing

Central Cordoba de Santiago+0.13scores more
Huracan+0.25scores more

Total goals

69%Under
  • Under69
  • Over31

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

62%No
  • No62
  • Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Central Cordoba de Santiago ↓

Huracan →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–014%
0–112%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
58%42%2.5
31%69%3.5
14%86%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Central Cordoba de Santiago or draw
72%
Central Cordoba de Santiago or Huracan
69%
Draw or Huracan
59%

Winning margin

Central Cordoba de Santiago wins by 2+
17%
Huracan wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Central Cordoba de Santiago 1+ goals
67%
Central Cordoba de Santiago 2+ goals
30%
Central Cordoba de Santiago 3+ goals
10%
Huracan 1+ goals
58%
Huracan 2+ goals
21%
Huracan 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Central Cordoba de Santiago (draw refunded)
59%
Huracan (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
25%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Central Cordoba de Santiago at home — creates 1.17, concedes 0.87 · 20 matches

Huracan away — creates 0.86, concedes 1.03 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Central Cordoba de Santiago attack 1.17 + Huracan defence 1.03 → ÷2 → 1.10

Huracan attack 0.86 + Central Cordoba de Santiago defence 0.87 → ÷2 → 0.86

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Central Cordoba de Santiago scores more
41%
level
31%
Huracan scores more
28%

Central Cordoba de Santiago at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Central Cordoba de Santiago will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

2
F. PereyraCentral Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago · D
7.7

Match Events

11'
J. Soraire← E. Kalinski
24'
L. Besozzi↳ L. Gamba
27'
Jesús Miguel Soraire
33'
Joaquín Novillo
43'
L. Maciel↳ C. Rius
46'
L. Castro← M. Cóccaro
63'
J. Acevedo← F. Fattori
63'
N. Cordero← J. García
75'
M. Pittón← L. Maciel
84'
D. Vásquez← L. Besozzi

Possession

36%Central

Shots

13Central

Pass accuracy

45%Central

Statistics

CentralHuracan
Overview
36%Possession64%
13Total Shots12
1Corners5
13Fouls7
Shots
13Total Shots12
3On Target0
9Off Target9
1Blocked3
8Inside Box7
5Outside Box5
Passing
36%Possession64%
287Total Passes493
185Accurate Passes383
64%Pass Accuracy78%
Goalkeeping
0Saves1
Discipline
13Fouls7
1Yellow Cards1
2Offsides0

Liga Profesional Argentina: Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–0 Huracan

Central Cordoba de Santiago beat Huracan 2-0 in Liga Profesional Argentina on June 3, 2023.

Goals: L. Besozzi (24'), L. Maciel (43').

Huracan controlled possession (64%) and registered 12 shots to 13.

The match was played at Estadio Alfredo Terrera in Santiago del Estero, Provincia de Santiago del Est.