Hannover 96 0–0 1. FC Magdeburg: Result & Stats

Hannover 96

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

1. FC Magdeburg

3/29/2025

2. Bundesliga · Round 27Heinz von Heiden-Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 11+ matches

Hannover 9650%

×Draw22%

1. FC Magdeburg29%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Hannover 96Expected goals in this match1. FC Magdeburg

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.02

1.50

Hannover 96

2.02

1. FC Magdeburg

1.50

Hannover 96 creates 35% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 12 away

2.10

creates per match

1.91

1.08

allows per match

1.95

creates per match

Hannover 96

2.10

1. FC Magdeburg

1.91

allows per match

Hannover 96

1.08

1. FC Magdeburg

1.95

-0.37scores less than expected

finishing

+0.01on par

finishing

Hannover 96-0.37scores less

1. FC Magdeburg+0.01on par

Total goals

Over68
Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes67
No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hannover 96 ↓

1. FC Magdeburg →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–14%

0–23%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–19%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–25%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

87%13%2.5

68%32%3.5

46%54%4.5

27%73%

Double chance

Hannover 96 or draw

71%

Hannover 96 or 1. FC Magdeburg

78%

Draw or 1. FC Magdeburg

50%

Winning margin

Hannover 96 wins by 2+

29%

1. FC Magdeburg wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Hannover 96 1+ goals

87%

Hannover 96 2+ goals

60%

Hannover 96 3+ goals

33%

1. FC Magdeburg 1+ goals

78%

1. FC Magdeburg 2+ goals

44%

1. FC Magdeburg 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

Hannover 96 (draw refunded)

63%

1. FC Magdeburg (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

58%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hannover 96 at home — creates 2.10, concedes 1.08 · 11 matches

1. FC Magdeburg away — creates 1.91, concedes 1.95 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hannover 96 attack 2.10 + 1. FC Magdeburg defence 1.95 → ÷2 → 2.02

1. FC Magdeburg attack 1.91 + Hannover 96 defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Hannover 96 scores more

50%

level

22%

1. FC Magdeburg scores more

29%

Hannover 96 at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Hannover 96 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

2

J. Knight

Hannover 96 · D

8.2

Match Events

45+1'

Daniel Heber

53'

Marcus Mathisen

62'

N. Tresoldi← A. Voglsammer

62'

R. Matondo← M. Momuluh

73'

X. Amaechi← L. Burcu

76'

L. Gindorf← H. Nielsen

76'

J. Dehm← S. Muroya

77'

F. Michel← A. El-Zein

77'

S. Loric← P. Hercher

86'

Lee Hyun-Ju← J. Rochelt

89'

A. Ahl-Holmström← M. Kaars

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Hannover1.

Overview

42%Possession58%

14Total Shots13

12Corners4

9Fouls14

Shots

14Total Shots13

3On Target4

5Off Target4

6Blocked5

10Inside Box9

4Outside Box4

Passing

42%Possession58%

315Total Passes471

236Accurate Passes386

75%Pass Accuracy82%

Goalkeeping

3Saves2

Discipline

9Fouls14

0Yellow Cards2

0Offsides2