Hannover 96 0–3 1. FC Magdeburg: Result & Stats

Hannover 96

FT

0 – 3

HT: 0 – 3

1. FC Magdeburg

C. Krempicki 42'

B. Teixeira 37'

A. Marusic 33'

1/10/2025

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Cornelia Sportcomplex

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 12+ matches

Hannover 9638%

×Draw20%

1. FC Magdeburg43%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Hannover 96Expected goals in this match1. FC Magdeburg

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.14

2.28

Hannover 96

2.14

1. FC Magdeburg

2.28

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 14 home / 12 away

1.86

creates per match

3.42

1.14

allows per match

2.42

creates per match

Hannover 96

1.86

1. FC Magdeburg

3.42

allows per match

Hannover 96

1.14

1. FC Magdeburg

2.42

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Hannover 96+0.00on par

1. FC Magdeburg+0.00on par

Total goals

Over81
Under19

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes79
No21

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hannover 96 ↓

1. FC Magdeburg →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–13%

0–23%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–03%

1–16%

1–27%

1–35%

1–43%

2

2–03%

2–16%

2–27%

2–36%

2–43%

3

3–02%

3–15%

3–25%

3–34%

3–42%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–23%

4–32%

4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (7%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

93%7%2.5

81%19%3.5

64%36%4.5

44%56%

Double chance

Hannover 96 or draw

57%

Hannover 96 or 1. FC Magdeburg

80%

Draw or 1. FC Magdeburg

62%

Winning margin

Hannover 96 wins by 2+

21%

1. FC Magdeburg wins by 2+

25%

Team goals

Hannover 96 1+ goals

88%

Hannover 96 2+ goals

63%

Hannover 96 3+ goals

36%

1. FC Magdeburg 1+ goals

90%

1. FC Magdeburg 2+ goals

66%

1. FC Magdeburg 3+ goals

39%

Draw no bet

Hannover 96 (draw refunded)

47%

1. FC Magdeburg (draw refunded)

53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

73%

Both score & under 3

6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hannover 96 at home — creates 1.86, concedes 1.14 · 14 matches

1. FC Magdeburg away — creates 3.42, concedes 2.42 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hannover 96 attack 1.86 + 1. FC Magdeburg defence 2.42 → ÷2 → 2.14

1. FC Magdeburg attack 3.42 + Hannover 96 defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 2.28

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Hannover 96 scores more

38%

level

20%

1. FC Magdeburg scores more

43%

1. FC Magdeburg at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "1. FC Magdeburg will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

33'

A. Marusic↳ A. Nollenberger

37'

B. Teixeira↳ E. Dzogovic

42'

Lukas Wallner

42'

C. Krempicki↳ X. Amaechi

46'

N. Kruth← R. Kampa

46'

M. Zajusch← B. Teixeira

56'

Tarek Chahed

61'

M. Baars← A. Nollenberger

61'

R. Leipertz← C. Krempicki

73'

J. Ceka← X. Amaechi

77'

Fabian Kunze

Hannover3-1-4-2

1.3-3-1-3

17

A

▼

Nollenber

8

⚽

▼

Teixeira

20

A

▼

Amaechi

26

⚽

Marusic

14

El-Zein

13

⚽

▼

21

34

5

4

A

Dzogovic

40

▼

30

19

27

42

6

37

29

25

38

32

9

Manager: Christian Titz

Hannover 96 substitutes

1Zieler4Schmidt5Neumann7Ngankam10Rochelt13Christiansen16Nielsen17Wdowik21Muroya23Halstenberg35Wechsel14Chakroun11Lee

Manager: Petrik Sander

46'▲N. Kruth←▼R. Kampa

46'▲M. Zajusch←▼B. Teixeira

61'▲M. Baars←▼A. Nollenberger

61'▲R. Leipertz←▼C. Krempicki

73'▲J. Ceka←▼X. Amaechi

1. FC Magdeburg substitutes

30Kruth6Baars10Ceka31Leipertz28Zajusch

Friendlies Clubs: Hannover 96 0–3 1. FC Magdeburg

1. FC Magdeburg beat Hannover 96 3-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 10, 2025.

Goals: A. Marusic (33'), B. Teixeira (37'), C. Krempicki (42').

The match was played at Cornelia Sportcomplex in Belek.

Hannover 96 vs 1. FC Magdeburg — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Friendlies Clubs: Hannover 96 0–3 1. FC Magdeburg