Granada CF 0–0 Cadiz: Result & Stats | La Liga

Granada CF

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Cadiz

2/28/2022

La Liga · Round 26Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 58+ matches

Granada CF46%

×Draw26%

Cadiz27%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Granada CFExpected goals in this matchCadiz

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.45

1.04

Granada CF

1.45

Cadiz

1.04

Granada CF creates 39% more chances

Season form · 58 home / 59 away

1.29

creates per match

0.81

1.28

allows per match

1.61

creates per match

Granada CF

1.29

Cadiz

0.81

allows per match

Granada CF

1.28

Cadiz

1.61

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Granada CF+0.00on par

Cadiz+0.00on par

Total goals

Under55
Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Granada CF ↓

Cadiz →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–19%

0–24%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–012%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

45%55%3.5

24%76%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Granada CF or draw

73%

Granada CF or Cadiz

74%

Draw or Cadiz

54%

Winning margin

Granada CF wins by 2+

23%

Cadiz wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Granada CF 1+ goals

77%

Granada CF 2+ goals

42%

Granada CF 3+ goals

18%

Cadiz 1+ goals

65%

Cadiz 2+ goals

28%

Cadiz 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Granada CF (draw refunded)

63%

Cadiz (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

37%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Granada CF at home — creates 1.29, concedes 1.28 · 58 matches

Cadiz away — creates 0.81, concedes 1.61 · 59 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Granada CF attack 1.29 + Cadiz defence 1.61 → ÷2 → 1.45

Cadiz attack 0.81 + Granada CF defence 1.28 → ÷2 → 1.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Granada CF scores more

46%

level

26%

Cadiz scores more

27%

Granada CF at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Granada CF will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

Luís Maximiano

Granada CF · G

7.9

Match Events

32'

33'

35'

42'

46'

48'

59'

59'

Isaac Carcelén← Fali Jiménez

74'

Fede San Emeterio

74'

Alberto Perea← A. Lozano

76'

Quini← Álex Collado

76'

N. Petrović← Ismael Ruiz

79'

Raul Torrente Navarro

83'

Sobrino← Fede

83'

Álex← Lucas Pérez

85'

Jorge Molina← L. Suárez

89'

Rochina← Antonio Puertas

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

GranadaCadiz

Overview

37%Possession63%

6Total Shots12

0Corners4

12Fouls17

Shots

6Total Shots12

1On Target4

2Off Target7

3Blocked1

1Inside Box6

5Outside Box6

Passing

37%Possession63%

338Total Passes564

235Accurate Passes467

70%Pass Accuracy83%

Goalkeeping

4Saves1

Discipline

12Fouls17

3Yellow Cards3

1Red Cards0

3Offsides1