Fredrikstad 1–1 KFUM Oslo: Result & Stats

Fredrikstad

FT

1 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

KFUM Oslo

A. Andresen 68'

E. Saunes 14'

2/17/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Fredrikstad60%

×Draw21%

KFUM Oslo19%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

FredrikstadExpected goals in this matchKFUM Oslo

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.07

1.08

Fredrikstad

2.07

KFUM Oslo

1.08

Fredrikstad creates 92% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 11 away

2.14

creates per match

1.09

1.07

allows per match

2.00

creates per match

Fredrikstad

2.14

KFUM Oslo

1.09

allows per match

Fredrikstad

1.07

KFUM Oslo

2.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Fredrikstad+0.00on par

KFUM Oslo+0.00on par

Total goals

Over61
Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes58
No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Fredrikstad ↓

KFUM Oslo →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–09%

1–110%

1–25%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–06%

3–17%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

61%39%3.5

38%62%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

Fredrikstad or draw

81%

Fredrikstad or KFUM Oslo

79%

Draw or KFUM Oslo

40%

Winning margin

Fredrikstad wins by 2+

37%

KFUM Oslo wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Fredrikstad 1+ goals

87%

Fredrikstad 2+ goals

61%

Fredrikstad 3+ goals

34%

KFUM Oslo 1+ goals

66%

KFUM Oslo 2+ goals

29%

KFUM Oslo 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Fredrikstad (draw refunded)

76%

KFUM Oslo (draw refunded)

24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

48%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Fredrikstad at home — creates 2.14, concedes 1.07 · 14 matches

KFUM Oslo away — creates 1.09, concedes 2.00 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Fredrikstad attack 2.14 + KFUM Oslo defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.07

KFUM Oslo attack 1.09 + Fredrikstad defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Fredrikstad scores more

60%

level

21%

KFUM Oslo scores more

19%

Fredrikstad at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Fredrikstad will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

14'

E. Saunes

45'

A. Nouri← J. Hjorth

46'

K. Bakowski← E. Odegaard

46'

R. Rasch← S. Hestnes

46'

H. Hoseth← R. E. Vinge

46'

S. Tormoen-Jourde← T. Haltvik

62'

M. Najafzadeh← B. Kristensen

63'

68'

M. Skallerud← M. Vinjor

68'

A. Andresen

71'

M. Abbas← F. Berglie

78'

M. Vuckovic←

89'

Fredrikstad

KFUM

1

▼

Odegaard

21

Sjokvist

2

Schneider

5

▼

Berglie

14

⚽

Saunes

16

▼

Hjorth

23

▼

Vinjor

8

▼

Hestnes

7

▼

Vinge

22

▼

Kristense

17

▼

77

4

6

9

10

12

13

15

16

20

28

Manager: Andreas Hagen

Fredrikstad substitutes

1Ovretveit25Langbraten2Okpaleke3Andresen5Rafn7Faraas14Nilsson17Kvile18Solberg19Yrga-Alem22Nordrum29Strand33Yoboue

Manager: Johannes Moesgaard

45'▲A. Nouri←▼J. Hjorth

46'▲K. Bakowski←▼E. Odegaard

46'▲R. Rasch←▼S. Hestnes

46'▲H. Hoseth←▼R. E. Vinge

46'▲S. Tormoen-Jourde←▼T. Haltvik

62'▲M. Najafzadeh←▼B. Kristensen

68'▲M. Skallerud←▼M. Vinjor

71'▲M. Abbas←▼F. Berglie

78'▲M. Vuckovic←▼—

KFUM Oslo substitutes

12Bakowski4NjieAbbas33NouriRaschHoseth30Vuckovic20Najafzadeh15Mehl42Skallerud6Tormoen-Jourde

Friendlies Clubs: Fredrikstad 1–1 KFUM Oslo

Fredrikstad and KFUM Oslo drew 1-1 in Friendlies Clubs on February 17, 2026.

Goals: E. Saunes (14'), A. Andresen (68').

Fredrikstad vs KFUM Oslo — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Friendlies Clubs: Fredrikstad 1–1 KFUM Oslo