Clermont Foot 1–2 Saint Etienne: Result & Stats

Clermont Foot

FT

1 – 2

HT: 1 – 0

Saint Etienne

C. Hountondji 39'

T. Kolodziejczak 82'

M. Camara 71'

2/13/2022

Ligue 1 · Round 24Stade Gabriel Montpied

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Clermont Foot35%

×Draw26%

Saint Etienne39%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 585,131 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Clermont FootExpected goals in this matchSaint Etienne

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.27

1.36

Clermont Foot

1.27

Saint Etienne

1.36

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 45 home / 87 away

1.00

creates per match

1.10

1.62

allows per match

1.53

creates per match

Clermont Foot

1.00

Saint Etienne

1.10

allows per match

Clermont Foot

1.62

Saint Etienne

1.53

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Clermont Foot+0.00on par

Saint Etienne+0.00on par

Total goals

Under51
Over49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Clermont Foot ↓

Saint Etienne →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–110%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

74%26%2.5

49%51%3.5

27%73%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Clermont Foot or draw

61%

Clermont Foot or Saint Etienne

74%

Draw or Saint Etienne

65%

Winning margin

Clermont Foot wins by 2+

15%

Saint Etienne wins by 2+

18%

Team goals

Clermont Foot 1+ goals

72%

Clermont Foot 2+ goals

36%

Clermont Foot 3+ goals

14%

Saint Etienne 1+ goals

74%

Saint Etienne 2+ goals

39%

Saint Etienne 3+ goals

16%

Draw no bet

Clermont Foot (draw refunded)

47%

Saint Etienne (draw refunded)

53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Clermont Foot at home — creates 1.00, concedes 1.62 · 45 matches

Saint Etienne away — creates 1.10, concedes 1.53 · 87 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Clermont Foot attack 1.00 + Saint Etienne defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.27

Saint Etienne attack 1.10 + Clermont Foot defence 1.62 → ÷2 → 1.36

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Clermont Foot scores more

35%

level

26%

Saint Etienne scores more

39%

Saint Etienne at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Saint Etienne will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

8

M. Camara

Saint Etienne · F

7.5

Match Events

15'

Ryad Boudebouz

19'

Cédric Hountondji

39'

C. Hountondji↳ J. Berthomier

46'

R. Hamouma← L. Gourna-Douath

51'

Johan Gastien

54'

D. Bouanga← A. Nordin

64'

J. Allevinah← L. Da Cunha

64'

Y. Magnin← J. Berthomier

71'

M. Camara↳ S. Thioub

74'

A. Aouchiche← S. Thioub

80'

A. Mendy← E. Rashani

82'

T. Kolodziejczak↳ R. Hamouma

86'

Z. Youssouf← W. Khazri

86'

Y. Maçon← R. Boudebouz

88'

G. Kyei← J. Gastien

90+5'

Akim Zedadka

90+1'

Alidu Seidu

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

ClermontSaint

Overview

46%Possession54%

9Total Shots6

6Corners3

16Fouls10

Shots

9Total Shots6

3On Target3

5Off Target2

1Blocked1

5Inside Box5

4Outside Box1

Passing

46%Possession54%

408Total Passes474

289Accurate Passes351

71%Pass Accuracy74%

Goalkeeping

1Saves2

Discipline

16Fouls10

4Yellow Cards1

1Offsides1

Ligue 1: Clermont Foot 1–2 Saint Etienne

Saint Etienne beat Clermont Foot 2-1 in Ligue 1 on February 13, 2022.

Goals: C. Hountondji (39'), M. Camara (71'), T. Kolodziejczak (82').

Saint Etienne controlled possession (54%) and registered 6 shots to 9.

The match was played at Stade Gabriel Montpied in Clermont-Ferrand.

Clermont Foot vs Saint Etienne — Ligue 1 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Ligue 1: Clermont Foot 1–2 Saint Etienne