Scoreo

CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea ClujLiga I 2026

M. Camora 43'
L. Biliboc 10'
M. Drammeh 83'
D. Nistor 29'
2/7/2026Liga ILiga I · Round 26Stadionul Dr. Constantin Rădulescu

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 8+ matches

CFR 1907 Cluj38%
×Draw25%
Universitatea Cluj38%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

CFR 1907 Cluj
1.48
Universitatea Cluj
1.48

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 8 home / 11 away

creates per match

CFR 1907 Cluj
1.54
Universitatea Cluj
1.75

allows per match

CFR 1907 Cluj
1.21
Universitatea Cluj
1.43

finishing

CFR 1907 Cluj+0.21scores more
Universitatea Cluj+0.16scores more

Total goals

57%Over
  • Over57
  • Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CFR 1907 Cluj

Universitatea Cluj
0
1
2
3
4
0
005%
018%
026%
033%
041%
1
108%
1111%
128%
134%
142%
2
206%
218%
226%
233%
241%
3
303%
314%
323%
332%
341%
4
401%
412%
421%
431%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
57%43%3.5
34%66%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

CFR 1907 Cluj or draw
62%
CFR 1907 Cluj or Universitatea Cluj
75%
Draw or Universitatea Cluj
62%

Winning margin

CFR 1907 Cluj wins by 2+
18%
Universitatea Cluj wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

CFR 1907 Cluj 1+ goals
77%
CFR 1907 Cluj 2+ goals
43%
CFR 1907 Cluj 3+ goals
19%
Universitatea Cluj 1+ goals
77%
Universitatea Cluj 2+ goals
43%
Universitatea Cluj 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

CFR 1907 Cluj (draw refunded)
50%
Universitatea Cluj (draw refunded)
50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CFR 1907 Cluj at homecreates 1.54, concedes 1.21 · 8 matches

Universitatea Cluj awaycreates 1.75, concedes 1.43 · 11 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CFR 1907 Cluj attack 1.54 + Universitatea Cluj defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.48

Universitatea Cluj attack 1.75 + CFR 1907 Cluj defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.48

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

CFR 1907 Cluj scores more
38%
level
25%
Universitatea Cluj scores more
38%

CFR 1907 Cluj at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "CFR 1907 Cluj will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

88
D. DjokovicCFR 1907 ClujCFR 1907 Cluj · M
8.0

Possession

30%CFR

Shots

12CFR

Pass accuracy

44%CFR

Statistics

CFRUniversitatea
Overview
30%Possession70%
12Total Shots20
1.71Expected Goals (xG)2.81
2Corners8
11Fouls11
Shots
12Total Shots20
3On Target8
7Off Target7
2Blocked5
9Inside Box16
3Outside Box4
Passing
30%Possession70%
254Total Passes564
168Accurate Passes480
66%Pass Accuracy85%
Goalkeeping
6Saves0
Discipline
11Fouls11
2Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
2Offsides0

Liga I: CFR 1907 Cluj 3–2 Universitatea Cluj

CFR 1907 Cluj beat Universitatea Cluj 3-2 in Liga I on February 7, 2026.

Goals: D. Djokovic (5'), L. Biliboc (10'), D. Nistor (29'), M. Camora (43'), M. Drammeh (83').

Universitatea Cluj controlled possession (70%) and registered 20 shots to 12.

The match was played at Stadionul Dr. Constantin Rădulescu in Cluj-Napoca.