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Železničar Pančevo vs Jedinstvo Ub — Super Liga 2026

Železničar Pančevo
Železničar Pančevo
FT
6 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Jedinstvo Ub
Jedinstvo Ub
F. Ezeh 82', 58'
M. Konatar 80'
D. Grgić 56'
N. Milunović 39'
L. Romanić 26' (pen)
12/14/2024Super LigaSuper Liga · Round 19Sportsko-Rekreativni Centar Mladost

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Železničar Pančevo62%
×Draw21%
Jedinstvo Ub17%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Železničar Pančevo
1.98
Jedinstvo Ub
0.91

Železničar Pančevo creates 118% more chances

Season form · 59 home / 19 away

creates per match

Železničar Pančevo
1.53
Jedinstvo Ub
0.74

allows per match

Železničar Pančevo
1.08
Jedinstvo Ub
2.42

finishing

Železničar Pančevo+0.00on par
Jedinstvo Ub+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Železničar Pančevo ↓

Jedinstvo Ub →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–15%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–110%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–25%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Železničar Pančevo or draw
83%
Železničar Pančevo or Jedinstvo Ub
79%
Draw or Jedinstvo Ub
38%

Winning margin

Železničar Pančevo wins by 2+
38%
Jedinstvo Ub wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Železničar Pančevo 1+ goals
86%
Železničar Pančevo 2+ goals
59%
Železničar Pančevo 3+ goals
31%
Jedinstvo Ub 1+ goals
60%
Jedinstvo Ub 2+ goals
23%
Jedinstvo Ub 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Železničar Pančevo (draw refunded)
79%
Jedinstvo Ub (draw refunded)
21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Železničar Pančevo at home — creates 1.53, concedes 1.08 · 59 matches

Jedinstvo Ub away — creates 0.74, concedes 2.42 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Železničar Pančevo attack 1.53 + Jedinstvo Ub defence 2.42 → ÷2 → 1.98

Jedinstvo Ub attack 0.74 + Železničar Pančevo defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 0.91

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Železničar Pančevo scores more
62%
level
21%
Jedinstvo Ub scores more
17%

Železničar Pančevo at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Železničar Pančevo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

15
F. EzehŽelezničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo · M
10.0

Match Events

23'
Strahinja Rakić
26'
L. RomanićPenalty
37'
Dimitrije Aćimović
39'
N. Milunović↳ N. Đuričić
48'
Viktor Damjanić
56'
D. Grgić↳ F. Ezeh
58'
F. Ezeh↳ N. Đuričić
64'
J. Milosavljević← M. Mitrović
64'
E. Ben← S. Cvetković
65'
T. Pérez← I. Milanović
65'
U. Damnjanović← Simón Moreno
65'
A. Popović← S. Golubović
76'
M. Konatar← N. Đuričić
76'
M. Ćurić← D. Grgić
77'
B. Runjajić← U. Stevančević
77'
L. Zhordania← S. Rakić
80'
M. Konatar↳ F. Ezeh
82'
F. Ezeh↳ E. Ben
83'
M. Milikić← N. Milunović

Possession

56%Železničar

Shots

16Železničar

Pass accuracy

52%Železničar

Statistics

ŽelezničarJedinstvo
Overview
56%Possession44%
16Total Shots5
5Corners1
17Fouls13
Shots
16Total Shots5
12On Target2
2Off Target3
2Blocked0
10Inside Box3
6Outside Box2
Passing
56%Possession44%
474Total Passes367
402Accurate Passes285
85%Pass Accuracy78%
Goalkeeping
2Saves6
Discipline
17Fouls13
0Yellow Cards3
4Offsides1

Super Liga: Železničar Pančevo 6–0 Jedinstvo Ub

Železničar Pančevo beat Jedinstvo Ub 6-0 in Super Liga on December 14, 2024.

Goals: L. Romanić (26' pen), N. Milunović (39'), D. Grgić (56'), F. Ezeh (58', 82'), M. Konatar (80').

Železničar Pančevo controlled possession (56%) and registered 16 shots to 5.

The match was played at Sportsko-Rekreativni Centar Mladost in Pančevo.