Yverdon Sport 0–0 Servette FC: Result & Stats

Yverdon Sport

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Servette FC

1/25/2025

Super League · Round 20Stade Municipal

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Yverdon Sport37%

×Draw26%

Servette FC36%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Yverdon SportExpected goals in this matchServette FC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.32

1.30

Yverdon Sport

1.32

Servette FC

1.30

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 6 home / 31 away

0.83

creates per match

1.77

0.83

allows per match

1.81

creates per match

Yverdon Sport

0.83

Servette FC

1.77

allows per match

Yverdon Sport

0.83

Servette FC

1.81

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Yverdon Sport+0.00on par

Servette FC+0.00on par

Total goals

Under51
Over49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Yverdon Sport ↓

Servette FC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–19%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–113%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

74%26%2.5

49%51%3.5

27%73%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Yverdon Sport or draw

64%

Yverdon Sport or Servette FC

74%

Draw or Servette FC

63%

Winning margin

Yverdon Sport wins by 2+

17%

Servette FC wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Yverdon Sport 1+ goals

73%

Yverdon Sport 2+ goals

38%

Yverdon Sport 3+ goals

15%

Servette FC 1+ goals

73%

Servette FC 2+ goals

37%

Servette FC 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Yverdon Sport (draw refunded)

51%

Servette FC (draw refunded)

49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Yverdon Sport at home — creates 0.83, concedes 0.83 · 6 matches

Servette FC away — creates 1.77, concedes 1.81 · 31 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Yverdon Sport attack 0.83 + Servette FC defence 1.81 → ÷2 → 1.32

Servette FC attack 1.77 + Yverdon Sport defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 1.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

Yverdon Sport scores more

37%

level

26%

Servette FC scores more

36%

Yverdon Sport at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Yverdon Sport will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

40

P. Bernardoni

Yverdon Sport · G

8.5

Match Events

19'

K. Adams← Y. Severin

33'

Dion Kacuri

46'

V. Tasar← Mauro Rodrigues

63'

Alexis Antunes

66'

T. Ouattara← A. Antunes

66'

J. Guillemenot← E. Crivelli

67'

B. Céspedes← M. Baradji

77'

C. Nuñez← D. Kacuri

88'

Keyan Varela← D. Kutesa

89'

V. Kongsro← M. Aké

90+7'

Jérémy Guillemenot

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

YverdonServette

Overview

38%Possession62%

10Total Shots14

0.64Expected Goals (xG)1.75

4Corners2

19Fouls13

Shots

10Total Shots14

3On Target6

4Off Target5

3Blocked3

5Inside Box9

5Outside Box5

Passing

38%Possession62%

271Total Passes438

160Accurate Passes346

59%Pass Accuracy79%

Goalkeeping

6Saves3

Discipline

19Fouls13

1Yellow Cards2