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Wycombe vs Peterborough — League One 2025

Wycombe
Wycombe
Preview
14:00
Peterborough
Peterborough
3/29/2027League OneLeague One · Round 38Adams Park
Big match
49%
Wycombe
model favours
49%24%27%

Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
55%
over 2.5 goals
56%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 27+ matches

Wycombe49%
×Draw24%
Peterborough27%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wycombe
1.69
Peterborough
1.18

Wycombe creates 43% more chances

Season form · 27 home / 34 away

creates per match

Wycombe
1.81
Peterborough
1.29

allows per match

Wycombe
1.07
Peterborough
1.56

finishing

Wycombe+0.00on par
Peterborough+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wycombe ↓

Peterborough →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Wycombe or draw
73%
Wycombe or Peterborough
76%
Draw or Peterborough
51%

Winning margin

Wycombe wins by 2+
26%
Peterborough wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Wycombe 1+ goals
82%
Wycombe 2+ goals
50%
Wycombe 3+ goals
24%
Peterborough 1+ goals
69%
Peterborough 2+ goals
33%
Peterborough 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Wycombe (draw refunded)
65%
Peterborough (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wycombe at home — creates 1.81, concedes 1.07 · 27 matches

Peterborough away — creates 1.29, concedes 1.56 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wycombe attack 1.81 + Peterborough defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 1.69

Peterborough attack 1.29 + Wycombe defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Wycombe scores more
49%
level
24%
Peterborough scores more
27%

Wycombe at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Wycombe will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Peterborough fall short of their xG (1.3 vs 1.6 expected)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Wycombe
Attack-heavy
Peterborough
Balanced
49%Possession57%
65%Pass accuracyBiggest gap79%
14.3Shots13.1
1.96xG1.60
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
WycombePeterborough

Head-to-head

5 previous meetings

1
Wycombe
1
Draws
3
Peterborough
Avg goals: 2.8BTTS: 80%
0–21–21–13–11–2

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Wycombe
WWLLD
Peterborough
LDLDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Wycombe host Peterborough

March 29, 2027: Wycombe take on Peterborough in League One. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Wycombe host Peterborough at Adams Park.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.