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Wycombe vs Huddersfield — League One 2018

Wycombe
Wycombe
Preview
15:00
Huddersfield
Huddersfield
11/14/2026League OneLeague One · Round 15Adams Park
Big match
41%
Wycombe
model favours
41%24%35%

Wycombe win just 26% against the top half (vs 57% against the bottom)

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
58%
over 2.5 goals
61%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 10+ matches

Wycombe41%
×Draw24%
Huddersfield35%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wycombe
1.58
Huddersfield
1.44

Wycombe creates 10% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 14 away

creates per match

Wycombe
1.91
Huddersfield
1.68

allows per match

Wycombe
1.21
Huddersfield
1.26

finishing

Wycombe-0.01on par
Huddersfield-0.04on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wycombe ↓

Huddersfield →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Wycombe or draw
65%
Wycombe or Huddersfield
76%
Draw or Huddersfield
59%

Winning margin

Wycombe wins by 2+
20%
Huddersfield wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Wycombe 1+ goals
79%
Wycombe 2+ goals
47%
Wycombe 3+ goals
21%
Huddersfield 1+ goals
76%
Huddersfield 2+ goals
42%
Huddersfield 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Wycombe (draw refunded)
54%
Huddersfield (draw refunded)
46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wycombe at home — creates 1.91, concedes 1.21 · 10 matches

Huddersfield away — creates 1.68, concedes 1.26 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wycombe attack 1.91 + Huddersfield defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.58

Huddersfield attack 1.68 + Wycombe defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.44

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Wycombe scores more
41%
level
24%
Huddersfield scores more
35%

Wycombe at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Wycombe will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Huddersfield fall short of their xG (1.3 vs 1.8 expected)
  • Wycombe fall short of their xG (1.4 vs 1.9 expected)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Wycombe
Balanced
Huddersfield
Attack-heavy
48%Possession52%
67%Pass accuracyBiggest gap73%
12.1Shots12.8
1.86xG1.84
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
WycombeHuddersfield

Head-to-head

6 previous meetings

3
Wycombe
2
Draws
1
Huddersfield
Avg goals: 2.7BTTS: 33%
3–33–01–00–13–2

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Wycombe
LLWWL
Huddersfield
LLWLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Wycombe host Huddersfield

November 14, 2026: Wycombe take on Huddersfield in League One. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Wycombe host Huddersfield at Adams Park.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.