Scoreo

Huddersfield vs WycombeLeague One 2018

Huddersfield
Huddersfield
FT
01
HT: 00
Wycombe
Wycombe
D. Udoh 63'
4/8/2025League OneLeague One · Round 38John Smith's Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 51+ matches

Huddersfield42%
×Draw26%
Wycombe32%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Huddersfield
1.40
Wycombe
1.20

Huddersfield creates 17% more chances

Season form · 51 home / 158 away

creates per match

Huddersfield
1.47
Wycombe
1.26

allows per match

Huddersfield
1.14
Wycombe
1.32

finishing

Huddersfield+0.00on par
Wycombe+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huddersfield

Wycombe
0
1
2
3
4
0
007%
019%
025%
032%
041%
1
1010%
1112%
127%
133%
141%
2
207%
219%
225%
232%
241%
3
303%
314%
322%
331%
340%
4
401%
411%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Huddersfield or draw
68%
Huddersfield or Wycombe
74%
Draw or Wycombe
58%

Winning margin

Huddersfield wins by 2+
20%
Wycombe wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Huddersfield 1+ goals
75%
Huddersfield 2+ goals
41%
Huddersfield 3+ goals
17%
Wycombe 1+ goals
70%
Wycombe 2+ goals
34%
Wycombe 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Huddersfield (draw refunded)
56%
Wycombe (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
40%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huddersfield at homecreates 1.47, concedes 1.14 · 51 matches

Wycombe awaycreates 1.26, concedes 1.32 · 158 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huddersfield attack 1.47 + Wycombe defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.40

Wycombe attack 1.26 + Huddersfield defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.20

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Huddersfield scores more
42%
level
26%
Wycombe scores more
32%

Huddersfield at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Huddersfield will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

26
S. BradleyWycombeWycombe · D
7.6

Possession

65%Huddersfield

Shots

9Huddersfield

Pass accuracy

54%Huddersfield

Statistics

HuddersfieldWycombe
Overview
65%Possession35%
9Total Shots11
8Corners7
9Fouls10
Shots
9Total Shots11
2On Target3
3Off Target5
4Blocked3
5Inside Box8
4Outside Box3
Passing
65%Possession35%
488Total Passes273
381Accurate Passes183
78%Pass Accuracy67%
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
Discipline
9Fouls10
2Yellow Cards1
3Offsides1

Match Recap: Huddersfield vs Wycombe

Wycombe beat Huddersfield 1-0 in League One on April 8, 2025.

Goals: D. Udoh (63').

Huddersfield controlled possession (65%) and registered 9 shots to 11.

The match was played at John Smith's Stadium in Huddersfield, West Yorkshire.