Huddersfield 2–3 Wycombe: Result & Stats

Huddersfield

FT

2 – 3

HT: 2 – 1

Wycombe

I. Mbenza 41'

J. Bacuna 18'

J. Knight 87'

J. Jacobson 63' (pen)

A. Mehmeti 45+3'

2/13/2021

Championship · Round 29John Smith's Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 23+ matches

Huddersfield47%

×Draw26%

Wycombe28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

HuddersfieldExpected goals in this matchWycombe

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.50

1.09

Huddersfield

1.50

Wycombe

1.09

Huddersfield creates 38% more chances

Season form · 123 home / 23 away

1.23

creates per match

0.96

1.22

allows per match

1.78

creates per match

Huddersfield

1.23

Wycombe

0.96

allows per match

Huddersfield

1.22

Wycombe

1.78

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Huddersfield+0.00on par

Wycombe+0.00on par

Total goals

Under52
Over48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huddersfield ↓

Wycombe →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–18%

0–24%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–112%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

73%27%2.5

48%52%3.5

26%74%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Huddersfield or draw

72%

Huddersfield or Wycombe

74%

Draw or Wycombe

53%

Winning margin

Huddersfield wins by 2+

23%

Wycombe wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Huddersfield 1+ goals

78%

Huddersfield 2+ goals

44%

Huddersfield 3+ goals

19%

Wycombe 1+ goals

66%

Wycombe 2+ goals

30%

Wycombe 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Huddersfield (draw refunded)

63%

Wycombe (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

39%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huddersfield at home — creates 1.23, concedes 1.22 · 123 matches

Wycombe away — creates 0.96, concedes 1.78 · 23 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huddersfield attack 1.23 + Wycombe defence 1.78 → ÷2 → 1.50

Wycombe attack 0.96 + Huddersfield defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.09

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Huddersfield scores more

47%

level

26%

Wycombe scores more

28%

Huddersfield at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Huddersfield will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

9

U. Ikpeazu

Wycombe · F

7.6

Match Events

18'

J. Bacuna↳ F. Campbell

23'

Ryan Tafazolli

41'

I. Mbenza↳ Pipa Ávila

45+3'

A. Mehmeti↳ D. Horgan

57'

Isaac Mbenza

62'

Pipa

63'

J. JacobsonPenalty

68'

A. Pritchard← Álex Vallejo

71'

Jack Grimmer

73'

J. Obita← J. Jacobson

79'

Duane Holmes

80'

S. High← D. Holmes

82'

Anthony Stewart

83'

F. Onyedinma← G. McCleary

85'

87'

87'

90'

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

HuddersfieldWycombe

Overview

61%Possession39%

10Total Shots16

2Corners2

11Fouls17

Shots

10Total Shots16

4On Target7

3Off Target7

3Blocked2

7Inside Box12

3Outside Box4

Passing

61%Possession39%

454Total Passes281

344Accurate Passes173

76%Pass Accuracy62%

Goalkeeping

3Saves2

Discipline

11Fouls17

4Yellow Cards4

4Offsides2