Wycombe 3–0 Huddersfield: Result & Stats

Wycombe

FT

3 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Huddersfield

D. Vost 80' (OG)

F. Onyedinma 75'

C. Woodrow 38'

10/25/2025

League One · Round 14Adams Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 10+ matches

Wycombe41%

×Draw24%

Huddersfield35%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

WycombeExpected goals in this matchHuddersfield

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.58

1.44

Wycombe

1.58

Huddersfield

1.44

Wycombe creates 10% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 14 away

1.91

creates per match

1.68

1.21

allows per match

1.26

creates per match

Wycombe

1.91

Huddersfield

1.68

allows per match

Wycombe

1.21

Huddersfield

1.26

-0.01on par

finishing

-0.04on par

finishing

Wycombe-0.01on par

Huddersfield-0.04on par

Total goals

Over58
Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes61
No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wycombe ↓

Huddersfield →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–17%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–111%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–15%

3–23%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

80%20%2.5

58%42%3.5

36%64%4.5

19%81%

Double chance

Wycombe or draw

65%

Wycombe or Huddersfield

76%

Draw or Huddersfield

59%

Winning margin

Wycombe wins by 2+

20%

Huddersfield wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Wycombe 1+ goals

79%

Wycombe 2+ goals

47%

Wycombe 3+ goals

21%

Huddersfield 1+ goals

76%

Huddersfield 2+ goals

42%

Huddersfield 3+ goals

18%

Draw no bet

Wycombe (draw refunded)

54%

Huddersfield (draw refunded)

46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

49%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wycombe at home — creates 1.91, concedes 1.21 · 10 matches

Huddersfield away — creates 1.68, concedes 1.26 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wycombe attack 1.91 + Huddersfield defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.58

Huddersfield attack 1.68 + Wycombe defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.44

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Wycombe scores more

41%

level

24%

Huddersfield scores more

35%

Wycombe at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Wycombe will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

12

C. Woodrow

Wycombe · F

8.6

Match Events

20'

Alex Lowry

25'

Alfie May

37'

J. Taylor← L. Castledine

38'

C. Woodrow

60'

S. Roughan← R. Roosken

68'

D. McNeilly← A. Lowry

75'

F. Onyedinma↳ E. Henderson

76'

M. Miller← B. Wiles

76'

D. Vost← L. Gooch

80'

D. VostOwn goal

84'

C. Boyd-Munce← E. Henderson

84'

A. Hagelskjaer← D. Harvie

85'

A. Quitirna← S. Bell

85'

F. Back← J. Grimmer

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

WycombeHuddersfield

Overview

69%Possession31%

22Total Shots5

8Corners1

6Fouls9

Shots

22Total Shots5

10On Target1

7Off Target1

5Blocked3

14Inside Box2

8Outside Box3

Passing

69%Possession31%

661Total Passes300

582Accurate Passes200

88%Pass Accuracy67%

Goalkeeping

1Saves8

Discipline

6Fouls9

1Yellow Cards0

0Red Cards1

3Offsides3