Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Walsall vs Bromley — League Two 2018

Walsall
Walsall
FT
2 – 2
HT: 1 – 0
Bromley
Bromley
D. Okagbue 90+4'
L. Gordon 40'
D. Imray 77'
M. Cheek 59'
11/26/2024League TwoLeague Two · Round 11Poundland Bescot Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

Walsall33%
×Draw27%
Bromley40%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Walsall
1.19
Bromley
1.32

Bromley creates 11% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 5 away

creates per match

Walsall
0.88
Bromley
1.23

allows per match

Walsall
1.42
Bromley
1.50

finishing

Walsall-0.10scores less
Bromley+0.77scores more

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Walsall ↓

Bromley →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–111%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
46%54%3.5
24%76%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Walsall or draw
60%
Walsall or Bromley
73%
Draw or Bromley
67%

Winning margin

Walsall wins by 2+
14%
Bromley wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Walsall 1+ goals
70%
Walsall 2+ goals
33%
Walsall 3+ goals
12%
Bromley 1+ goals
73%
Bromley 2+ goals
38%
Bromley 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Walsall (draw refunded)
46%
Bromley (draw refunded)
54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Walsall at home — creates 0.88, concedes 1.42 · 9 matches

Bromley away — creates 1.23, concedes 1.50 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Walsall attack 0.88 + Bromley defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.19

Bromley attack 1.23 + Walsall defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.32

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Walsall scores more
33%
level
27%
Bromley scores more
40%

Bromley at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Bromley will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

26
D. OkagbueWalsallWalsall · D
8.2

Match Events

40'
L. Gordon↳ D. Okagbue
59'
M. Cheek
61'
J. Jellis← J. Earing
61'
B. Comley← G. Hall
74'
Byron Webster
75'
A. Adomah← C. Barrett
76'
C. Congreve← O. Olomola
77'
D. Imray↳ M. Cheek
80'
D. Johnson← R. Stirk
90+4'
D. Okagbue

Possession

56%Walsall

Shots

17Walsall

Pass accuracy

53%Walsall

Statistics

WalsallBromley
Overview
56%Possession44%
17Total Shots11
4Corners6
8Fouls12
Shots
17Total Shots11
5On Target4
5Off Target4
7Blocked3
11Inside Box10
6Outside Box1
Passing
56%Possession44%
319Total Passes250
226Accurate Passes155
71%Pass Accuracy62%
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
Discipline
8Fouls12
0Yellow Cards1
1Offsides0

League Two: Walsall 2–2 Bromley

Walsall and Bromley drew 2-2 in League Two on November 26, 2024.

Goals: L. Gordon (40'), M. Cheek (59'), D. Imray (77'), D. Okagbue (90+4').

Walsall controlled possession (56%) and registered 17 shots to 11.

The match was played at Poundland Bescot Stadium in Walsall, West Midlands.