Victoria United 2–4 Unisport Bafang: Result & Stats

Victoria United

FT

2 – 4

HT: 0 – 1

Unisport Bafang

N. G. Rattensi 90'

F. Selle 48'

J. Ntang 86'

A. Fokem Namekong 76'

V. Koloto 55'

J. Ekolowa 37'

5/24/2026

Elite One · Round 20

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

Victoria United48%

×Draw24%

Unisport Bafang28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Victoria UnitedExpected goals in this matchUnisport Bafang

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.67

1.23

Victoria United

1.67

Unisport Bafang

1.23

Victoria United creates 36% more chances

Season form · 39 home / 21 away

1.67

creates per match

1.10

1.36

allows per match

1.67

creates per match

Victoria United

1.67

Unisport Bafang

1.10

allows per match

Victoria United

1.36

Unisport Bafang

1.67

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Victoria United+0.00on par

Unisport Bafang+0.00on par

Total goals

Over55
Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes57
No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Victoria United ↓

Unisport Bafang →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–17%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–111%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

55%45%3.5

33%67%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

Victoria United or draw

72%

Victoria United or Unisport Bafang

76%

Draw or Unisport Bafang

52%

Winning margin

Victoria United wins by 2+

25%

Unisport Bafang wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Victoria United 1+ goals

81%

Victoria United 2+ goals

50%

Victoria United 3+ goals

23%

Unisport Bafang 1+ goals

71%

Unisport Bafang 2+ goals

35%

Unisport Bafang 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Victoria United (draw refunded)

63%

Unisport Bafang (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

46%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Victoria United at home — creates 1.67, concedes 1.36 · 39 matches

Unisport Bafang away — creates 1.10, concedes 1.67 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Victoria United attack 1.67 + Unisport Bafang defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.67

Unisport Bafang attack 1.10 + Victoria United defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Victoria United scores more

48%

level

24%

Unisport Bafang scores more

28%

Victoria United at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Victoria United will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

37'

J. Ekolowa

48'

F. Selle

55'

V. Koloto

64'

G. Iyem

76'

A. Fokem Namekong

86'

J. Ntang

90'

N. G. Rattensi

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff