Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Unie Hlubina vs Polanka nad Odrou — 3. liga - MSFL 2019

Unie Hlubina
Unie Hlubina
FT
5 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Polanka nad Odrou
Polanka nad Odrou
10/25/20253. liga - MSFL3. liga - MSFL · MSFL - 13Stadion Hlubina

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Unie Hlubina42%
×Draw24%
Polanka nad Odrou33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Unie Hlubina
1.60
Polanka nad Odrou
1.39

Unie Hlubina creates 15% more chances

Season form · 18 home / 17 away

creates per match

Unie Hlubina
1.44
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00

allows per match

Unie Hlubina
1.78
Polanka nad Odrou
1.76

finishing

Unie Hlubina+0.00on par
Polanka nad Odrou+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Over
  • Over57
  • Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Unie Hlubina ↓

Polanka nad Odrou →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
57%43%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Unie Hlubina or draw
67%
Unie Hlubina or Polanka nad Odrou
76%
Draw or Polanka nad Odrou
58%

Winning margin

Unie Hlubina wins by 2+
21%
Polanka nad Odrou wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Unie Hlubina 1+ goals
80%
Unie Hlubina 2+ goals
47%
Unie Hlubina 3+ goals
22%
Polanka nad Odrou 1+ goals
75%
Polanka nad Odrou 2+ goals
40%
Polanka nad Odrou 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Unie Hlubina (draw refunded)
56%
Polanka nad Odrou (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Unie Hlubina at home — creates 1.44, concedes 1.78 · 18 matches

Polanka nad Odrou away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.76 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Unie Hlubina attack 1.44 + Polanka nad Odrou defence 1.76 → ÷2 → 1.60

Polanka nad Odrou attack 1.00 + Unie Hlubina defence 1.78 → ÷2 → 1.39

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Unie Hlubina scores more
42%
level
24%
Polanka nad Odrou scores more
33%

Unie Hlubina at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Unie Hlubina will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Unie Hlubina vs Polanka nad Odrou

Unie Hlubina beat Polanka nad Odrou 5-1 in 3. liga - MSFL on October 25, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion Hlubina in Ostrava.