Polanka nad Odrou 2–4 Unie Hlubina: Result & Stats

Polanka nad Odrou

FT

2 – 4

HT: 1 – 2

Unie Hlubina

5/31/2026

3. liga - MSFL · MSFL - 30Stadium Polanka nad Odrou

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Polanka nad Odrou25%

×Draw23%

Unie Hlubina52%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Polanka nad OdrouExpected goals in this matchUnie Hlubina

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.14

1.77

Polanka nad Odrou

1.14

Unie Hlubina

1.77

Unie Hlubina creates 55% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 18 away

1.06

creates per match

1.61

1.94

allows per match

1.22

creates per match

Polanka nad Odrou

1.06

Unie Hlubina

1.61

allows per match

Polanka nad Odrou

1.94

Unie Hlubina

1.22

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Polanka nad Odrou+0.00on par

Unie Hlubina+0.00on par

Total goals

Over56
Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes56
No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Polanka nad Odrou ↓

Unie Hlubina →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–110%

0–29%

0–35%

0–42%

1

1–06%

1–111%

1–210%

1–36%

1–43%

2

2–04%

2–16%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–01%

3–12%

3–22%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–00%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

79%21%2.5

56%44%3.5

33%67%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

Polanka nad Odrou or draw

48%

Polanka nad Odrou or Unie Hlubina

77%

Draw or Unie Hlubina

75%

Winning margin

Polanka nad Odrou wins by 2+

10%

Unie Hlubina wins by 2+

29%

Team goals

Polanka nad Odrou 1+ goals

68%

Polanka nad Odrou 2+ goals

32%

Polanka nad Odrou 3+ goals

11%

Unie Hlubina 1+ goals

83%

Unie Hlubina 2+ goals

53%

Unie Hlubina 3+ goals

26%

Draw no bet

Polanka nad Odrou (draw refunded)

32%

Unie Hlubina (draw refunded)

68%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

45%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Polanka nad Odrou at home — creates 1.06, concedes 1.94 · 17 matches

Unie Hlubina away — creates 1.61, concedes 1.22 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Polanka nad Odrou attack 1.06 + Unie Hlubina defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.14

Unie Hlubina attack 1.61 + Polanka nad Odrou defence 1.94 → ÷2 → 1.77

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Polanka nad Odrou scores more

25%

level

23%

Unie Hlubina scores more

52%

Unie Hlubina at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Unie Hlubina will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff