TS Galaxy 2–0 Marumo Gallants: Result & Stats

TS Galaxy

FT

2 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Marumo Gallants

V. Letsoalo 67'

M. Keita 56' (pen)

1/21/2026

Premier Soccer League · Round 15Kameelrivier Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 76+ matches

TS Galaxy48%

×Draw29%

Marumo Gallants24%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

TS GalaxyExpected goals in this matchMarumo Gallants

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.30

0.82

TS Galaxy

1.30

Marumo Gallants

0.82

TS Galaxy creates 59% more chances

Season form · 89 home / 76 away

1.15

creates per match

0.72

0.93

allows per match

1.45

creates per match

TS Galaxy

1.15

Marumo Gallants

0.72

allows per match

TS Galaxy

0.93

Marumo Gallants

1.45

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

TS Galaxy+0.00on par

Marumo Gallants+0.00on par

Total goals

Under64
Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No59
Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

TS Galaxy ↓

Marumo Gallants →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–012%

0–110%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–016%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–18%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

88%12%1.5

63%37%2.5

36%64%3.5

16%84%4.5

6%94%

Double chance

TS Galaxy or draw

76%

TS Galaxy or Marumo Gallants

71%

Draw or Marumo Gallants

52%

Winning margin

TS Galaxy wins by 2+

22%

Marumo Gallants wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

TS Galaxy 1+ goals

73%

TS Galaxy 2+ goals

37%

TS Galaxy 3+ goals

14%

Marumo Gallants 1+ goals

56%

Marumo Gallants 2+ goals

20%

Marumo Gallants 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

TS Galaxy (draw refunded)

67%

Marumo Gallants (draw refunded)

33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

28%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

TS Galaxy at home — creates 1.15, concedes 0.93 · 89 matches

Marumo Gallants away — creates 0.72, concedes 1.45 · 76 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

TS Galaxy attack 1.15 + Marumo Gallants defence 1.45 → ÷2 → 1.30

Marumo Gallants attack 0.72 + TS Galaxy defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 0.82

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

TS Galaxy scores more

48%

level

29%

Marumo Gallants scores more

24%

TS Galaxy at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "TS Galaxy will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

17

V. Letsoalo

TS Galaxy · F

7.6

Match Events

46'

M. Mbunjana← J. Dlamini

46'

V. Letsoalo← M. Ouamri

46'

M. Keita← S. Mahlambi

54'

Ira Eliezer Tapé

56'

M. KeitaPenalty

66'

T. Motloung← N. Ndlondlo

67'

V. Letsoalo↳ J. Zindoga

68'

O. Moletshe← S. Maduna

77'

S. Mbhele← M. Mpambaniso

77'

T. Dhludhlu← M. Ndlovu

77'

K. Mhlongo← S. Nhlapo

88'

N. Nkosi← M. Mvelase

89'

Lentswe Motaung

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

TSMarumo

Overview

43%Possession57%

15Total Shots13

1Corners4

20Fouls12

Shots

15Total Shots13

4On Target4

9Off Target6

2Blocked3

11Inside Box4

4Outside Box9

Passing

43%Possession57%

338Total Passes444

254Accurate Passes359

75%Pass Accuracy81%

Goalkeeping

4Saves2

Discipline

20Fouls12

2Yellow Cards0

2Offsides3