Tromso 1–0 Start: Result & Stats | Friendlies Clubs

Tromso

FT

1 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Start

3/27/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Tromso58%

×Draw22%

Start19%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

TromsoExpected goals in this matchStart

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.89

0.99

Tromso

1.89

Start

0.99

Tromso creates 91% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 13 away

1.78

creates per match

1.31

0.67

allows per match

2.00

creates per match

Tromso

1.78

Start

1.31

allows per match

Tromso

0.67

Start

2.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Tromso+0.00on par

Start+0.00on par

Total goals

Over55
Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tromso ↓

Start →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–16%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–111%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

55%45%3.5

32%68%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

Tromso or draw

81%

Tromso or Start

78%

Draw or Start

42%

Winning margin

Tromso wins by 2+

34%

Start wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Tromso 1+ goals

85%

Tromso 2+ goals

56%

Tromso 3+ goals

29%

Start 1+ goals

63%

Start 2+ goals

26%

Start 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Tromso (draw refunded)

75%

Start (draw refunded)

25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tromso at home — creates 1.78, concedes 0.67 · 9 matches

Start away — creates 1.31, concedes 2.00 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tromso attack 1.78 + Start defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.89

Start attack 1.31 + Tromso defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.99

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Tromso scores more

58%

level

22%

Start scores more

19%

Tromso at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Tromso will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Tromso

Start

1

27

5

6

19

12

23

16

18

11

17

1

2

4

21

30

37

5

11

7

10

22

Manager: Jorgen Vik

Tromso substitutes

LauvliMikkelsen23Husebo3Tonnessen29Warneryd18Braut15EkblomKristoffersenNilsen

Manager: Azar Karadas

Start substitutes

24Strand-Kolbjornsen13Griesbeck3Ujkani41Ruenes37Lien40Apland99Ampofo

Friendlies Clubs: Tromso 1–0 Start

Tromso beat Start 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on March 27, 2026.

Tromso vs Start — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Friendlies Clubs: Tromso 1–0 Start