Tromso 0–0 Lillestrom: Result & Stats

Tromso

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Lillestrom

2/27/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Tromso56%

×Draw26%

Lillestrom18%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

TromsoExpected goals in this matchLillestrom

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.54

0.74

Tromso

1.54

Lillestrom

0.74

Tromso creates 108% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 10 away

1.78

creates per match

0.80

0.67

allows per match

1.30

creates per match

Tromso

1.78

Lillestrom

0.80

allows per match

Tromso

0.67

Lillestrom

1.30

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Tromso+0.00on par

Lillestrom+0.00on par

Total goals

Under60
Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No59
Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tromso ↓

Lillestrom →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–18%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–016%

1–112%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–012%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–15%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

66%34%2.5

40%60%3.5

20%80%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Tromso or draw

82%

Tromso or Lillestrom

74%

Draw or Lillestrom

44%

Winning margin

Tromso wins by 2+

30%

Lillestrom wins by 2+

5%

Team goals

Tromso 1+ goals

79%

Tromso 2+ goals

45%

Tromso 3+ goals

20%

Lillestrom 1+ goals

52%

Lillestrom 2+ goals

17%

Lillestrom 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

Tromso (draw refunded)

76%

Lillestrom (draw refunded)

24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

29%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tromso at home — creates 1.78, concedes 0.67 · 9 matches

Lillestrom away — creates 0.80, concedes 1.30 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tromso attack 1.78 + Lillestrom defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.54

Lillestrom attack 0.80 + Tromso defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.74

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Tromso scores more

56%

level

26%

Lillestrom scores more

18%

Tromso at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Tromso will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Tromso

Lillestrom

12

2

5

28

26

8

24

17

19

10

15

1

29

30

21

25

37

5

11

6

7

9

Manager: Jorgen Vik

Tromso substitutes

27LauvliSarr34Mikkelsen4Skjaervik23Husebo15TonnessenGueye8Grundt35NoisElvebu10NyhammerLarsen14Prestmo

Manager: Hans Odegaard

Lillestrom substitutes

1HagerupBabicOttesen29Nyheim32Woxen20Arierhi4GarnasNtisoVa35Reshane36Jallow30SvenningsenWaehler25Kitolano

Friendlies Clubs: Tromso 0–0 Lillestrom

Tromso and Lillestrom drew 0-0 in Friendlies Clubs on February 27, 2026.

Tromso vs Lillestrom — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Friendlies Clubs: Tromso 0–0 Lillestrom