Talleres Cordoba vs Central Cordoba de Santiago — Liga Profesional Argentina 2018
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 108+ matches
Talleres Cordoba45%
Central Cordoba de Santiago27%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Talleres Cordoba creates 41% more chances
Season form · 120 home / 108 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Under61
- Over39
Fewer than 3 goals likely
Both teams score
- No56
- Yes44
One side may not score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Talleres Cordoba ↓
Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Talleres Cordoba at home — creates 1.24, concedes 0.89 · 120 matches
Central Cordoba de Santiago away — creates 0.96, concedes 1.38 · 108 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Talleres Cordoba attack 1.24 + Central Cordoba de Santiago defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.31
Central Cordoba de Santiago attack 0.96 + Talleres Cordoba defence 0.89 → ÷2 → 0.93
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 45%?"
Talleres Cordoba at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 45% does not mean "Talleres Cordoba will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Player of the match
Match Events
Racing Club
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
River Plate
Atletico Tucuman
Velez Sarsfield
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Tigre
Huracan
LanusTalleres Cordoba
Aldosivi
Godoy Cruz
Newells Old Boys
Banfield
Estudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.
Patronato
Rosario Central
San Martin S.J.
Belgrano Cordoba
San Lorenzo
Colon Santa Fe
San Martin Tucuman
Argentinos JrsIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Talleres Cordoba host Central Cordoba de Santiago on Saturday, 25 June 2022 at 18:30. The match is part of the Liga Profesional Argentina 2018/2019 season.
Liga Profesional Argentina: Talleres Cordoba 0–2 Central Cordoba de Santiago
Central Cordoba de Santiago beat Talleres Cordoba 2-0 in Liga Profesional Argentina on June 25, 2022.
Goals: C. Riaño (84', 90').
Talleres Cordoba controlled possession (51%) and registered 6 shots to 9.
The match was played at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes in Ciudad de Córdoba, Provincia de Córdoba.