Start 5–1 Haugesund: Result & Stats | Eliteserien

Start

FT

5 – 1

HT: 3 – 0

Haugesund

U. Fredriksen 90+1' (OG), 13' (OG)

E. Schulze 60', 32'

M. El Makrini 18'

I. Wadji 54'

10/4/2020

Eliteserien · Round 20Sparebanken Sør Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

Start51%

×Draw23%

Haugesund26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

StartExpected goals in this matchHaugesund

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.84

1.25

Start

1.84

Haugesund

1.25

Start creates 47% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 30 away

1.33

creates per match

1.07

1.42

allows per match

2.36

creates per match

Start

1.33

Haugesund

1.07

allows per match

Start

1.42

Haugesund

2.36

-0.33scores less than expected

finishing

-0.10scores less than expected

finishing

Start-0.33scores less

Haugesund-0.10scores less

Total goals

Over60
Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes60
No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Start ↓

Haugesund →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–16%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–08%

1–110%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

81%19%2.5

60%40%3.5

37%63%4.5

20%80%

Double chance

Start or draw

74%

Start or Haugesund

77%

Draw or Haugesund

49%

Winning margin

Start wins by 2+

29%

Haugesund wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Start 1+ goals

84%

Start 2+ goals

55%

Start 3+ goals

28%

Haugesund 1+ goals

71%

Haugesund 2+ goals

36%

Haugesund 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Start (draw refunded)

66%

Haugesund (draw refunded)

34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

49%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Start at home — creates 1.33, concedes 1.42 · 6 matches

Haugesund away — creates 1.07, concedes 2.36 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Start attack 1.33 + Haugesund defence 2.36 → ÷2 → 1.84

Haugesund attack 1.07 + Start defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Start scores more

51%

level

23%

Haugesund scores more

26%

Start at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Start will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

11

E. Schulze

Start · M

8.7

Match Events

13'

U. FredriksenOwn goal

18'

M. El Makrini↳ E. Børufsen

28'

Kevin Kabran

32'

E. Schulze↳ E. Børufsen

36'

A. Ammitzbøll← C. Grindheim

45+3'

K. Gunnarshaug← M. Desler

54'

I. Wadji↳ N. Sandberg

60'

E. Schulze↳ C. Bolaños

61'

K. Skaanes← E. Børufsen

79'

M. Ugland← M. Ramsland

82'

A. Endresen← I. Wadji

84'

E. Marković← C. Bolaños

88'

Alexander Ballegaard Ammitzboll

90+1'

U. FredriksenOwn goal

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

StartHaugesund

Overview

51%Possession49%

10Total Shots7

3Corners4

15Fouls11

Shots

10Total Shots7

6On Target2

2Off Target3

2Blocked2

4Inside Box4

6Outside Box3

Passing

51%Possession49%

402Total Passes376

323Accurate Passes291

80%Pass Accuracy77%

Goalkeeping

1Saves3

Discipline

15Fouls11

1Yellow Cards1

Eliteserien: Start 5–1 Haugesund

Start beat Haugesund 5-1 in Eliteserien on October 4, 2020.

Goals: U. Fredriksen (13' o.g., 90+1' o.g.), M. El Makrini (18'), E. Schulze (32', 60'), I. Wadji (54').

Start controlled possession (51%) and registered 10 shots to 7.

The match was played at Sparebanken Sør Arena in Kristiansand.

Start vs Haugesund — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Eliteserien: Start 5–1 Haugesund