Haugesund 3–1 Start: Result & Stats | Eliteserien

Haugesund

FT

3 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

Start

I. Wadji 77', 68'

B. Akintola 59'

A. Akinyemi 12'

11/24/2018

Eliteserien · Round 30Haugesund Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 8+ matches

Haugesund42%

×Draw25%

Start32%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

HaugesundExpected goals in this matchStart

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.48

1.26

Haugesund

1.48

Start

1.26

Haugesund creates 17% more chances

Season form · 32 home / 8 away

1.14

creates per match

0.90

1.62

allows per match

1.82

creates per match

Haugesund

1.14

Start

0.90

allows per match

Haugesund

1.62

Start

1.82

-0.26scores less than expected

finishing

+0.10scores more than expected

finishing

Haugesund-0.26scores less

Start+0.10scores more

Total goals

Over52
Under48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Haugesund ↓

Start →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–112%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

76%24%2.5

52%48%3.5

29%71%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Haugesund or draw

68%

Haugesund or Start

75%

Draw or Start

58%

Winning margin

Haugesund wins by 2+

21%

Start wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Haugesund 1+ goals

77%

Haugesund 2+ goals

43%

Haugesund 3+ goals

19%

Start 1+ goals

72%

Start 2+ goals

36%

Start 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Haugesund (draw refunded)

57%

Start (draw refunded)

43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Haugesund at home — creates 1.14, concedes 1.62 · 32 matches

Start away — creates 0.90, concedes 1.82 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Haugesund attack 1.14 + Start defence 1.82 → ÷2 → 1.48

Start attack 0.90 + Haugesund defence 1.62 → ÷2 → 1.26

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Haugesund scores more

42%

level

25%

Start scores more

32%

Haugesund at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Haugesund will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

17

I. Wadji

Haugesund · F

9.1

Match Events

12'

A. Akinyemi

33'

Adnan Hadzic

45'

Adeleke Akinola Akinyemi

51'

Bruno Leite← B. Karamoko

58'

I. Koné← T. Kallevåg

59'

B. Akintola↳ C. Grindheim

60'

M. Bringaker← A. Akinyemi

62'

Helge Sandvik

68'

I. Wadji↳ K. Haraldseid

71'

T. Christensen← A. Hadzic

77'

I. Wadji

80'

T. Svendsen← B. Akintola

81'

A. Aremu← K. Skaanes

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

HaugesundStart

Overview

61%Possession39%

13Total Shots9

4Corners8

11Fouls11

Shots

13Total Shots9

8On Target3

4Off Target4

1Blocked2

11Inside Box3

2Outside Box6

Passing

61%Possession39%

506Total Passes303

382Accurate Passes174

75%Pass Accuracy57%

Goalkeeping

2Saves5

Discipline

11Fouls11

1Yellow Cards2

0Red Cards0

2Offsides4

Match Recap: Haugesund vs Start

Haugesund beat Start 3-1 in Eliteserien on November 24, 2018.

Goals: A. Akinyemi (12'), B. Akintola (59'), I. Wadji (68', 77').

Haugesund controlled possession (61%) and registered 13 shots to 9.

The match was played at Haugesund Stadion in Haugesund.

Haugesund vs Start — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Haugesund vs Start