Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Haugesund vs Start — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Haugesund
Haugesund
FT
0 – 2
Start
Start
2/28/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Karmøy Storhall

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Haugesund58%
×Draw21%
Start21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Haugesund
2.13
Start
1.20

Haugesund creates 77% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 13 away

creates per match

Haugesund
2.27
Start
1.31

allows per match

Haugesund
1.09
Start
2.00

finishing

Haugesund+0.00on par
Start+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 64Under: 3664%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 62No: 3862%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Haugesund ↓

Start →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–19%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

Haugesund or draw
79%
Haugesund or Start
79%
Draw or Start
42%

Winning margin

Haugesund wins by 2+
36%
Start wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Haugesund 1+ goals
88%
Haugesund 2+ goals
63%
Haugesund 3+ goals
35%
Start 1+ goals
70%
Start 2+ goals
34%
Start 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Haugesund (draw refunded)
74%
Start (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Haugesund at home — creates 2.27, concedes 1.09 · 22 matches

Start away — creates 1.31, concedes 2.00 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Haugesund attack 2.27 + Start defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.13

Start attack 1.31 + Haugesund defence 1.09 → ÷2 → 1.20

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Haugesund scores more
58%
level
21%
Start scores more
21%

Haugesund at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Haugesund will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Haugesund 0–2 Start

Start beat Haugesund 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on February 28, 2020.

The match was played at Karmøy Storhall in Veavågen.