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Slavia Praha vs Servette FC — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Slavia Praha
Slavia Praha
FT
3 – 0
Servette FC
Servette FC
1/13/2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Cascade Resort Lagos - Campo 2

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Slavia Praha45%
×Draw22%
Servette FC33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slavia Praha
1.91
Servette FC
1.60

Slavia Praha creates 19% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 13 away

creates per match

Slavia Praha
2.27
Servette FC
2.08

allows per match

Slavia Praha
1.13
Servette FC
1.54

finishing

Slavia Praha+0.00on par
Servette FC+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Over
  • Over68
  • Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

68%Yes
  • Yes68
  • No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slavia Praha ↓

Servette FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–19%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
68%32%3.5
46%54%4.5
27%73%

Double chance

Slavia Praha or draw
67%
Slavia Praha or Servette FC
78%
Draw or Servette FC
55%

Winning margin

Slavia Praha wins by 2+
25%
Servette FC wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Slavia Praha 1+ goals
85%
Slavia Praha 2+ goals
57%
Slavia Praha 3+ goals
30%
Servette FC 1+ goals
80%
Servette FC 2+ goals
47%
Servette FC 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

Slavia Praha (draw refunded)
58%
Servette FC (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slavia Praha at home — creates 2.27, concedes 1.13 · 15 matches

Servette FC away — creates 2.08, concedes 1.54 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slavia Praha attack 2.27 + Servette FC defence 1.54 → ÷2 → 1.91

Servette FC attack 2.08 + Slavia Praha defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Slavia Praha scores more
45%
level
22%
Servette FC scores more
33%

Slavia Praha at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Slavia Praha will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Slavia Praha vs Servette FC

Slavia Praha beat Servette FC 3-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 13, 2023.

The match was played at Cascade Resort Lagos - Campo 2 in Lagos.