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Slavia Praha vs Servette FC — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Slavia Praha
Slavia Praha
CANC
15:00
Servette FC
Servette FC
1/14/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 12+ matches

Slavia Praha40%
×Draw22%
Servette FC37%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slavia Praha
1.81
Servette FC
1.73

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 14 home / 12 away

creates per match

Slavia Praha
2.21
Servette FC
2.25

allows per match

Slavia Praha
1.21
Servette FC
1.42

finishing

Slavia Praha+0.00on par
Servette FC+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slavia Praha ↓

Servette FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
47%53%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

Slavia Praha or draw
63%
Slavia Praha or Servette FC
78%
Draw or Servette FC
60%

Winning margin

Slavia Praha wins by 2+
21%
Servette FC wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

Slavia Praha 1+ goals
84%
Slavia Praha 2+ goals
54%
Slavia Praha 3+ goals
27%
Servette FC 1+ goals
82%
Servette FC 2+ goals
52%
Servette FC 3+ goals
25%

Draw no bet

Slavia Praha (draw refunded)
52%
Servette FC (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slavia Praha at home — creates 2.21, concedes 1.21 · 14 matches

Servette FC away — creates 2.25, concedes 1.42 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slavia Praha attack 2.21 + Servette FC defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.81

Servette FC attack 2.25 + Slavia Praha defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Slavia Praha scores more
40%
level
22%
Servette FC scores more
37%

Slavia Praha at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Slavia Praha will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Slavia Praha face Servette FC (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Slavia Praha hosting Servette FC. Match starts January 14, 2022. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Slavia Praha host Servette FC at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.