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Servette FC vs Slavia Praha — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Servette FC
Servette FC
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 2
Slavia Praha
Slavia Praha
B. Souare 76' (OG)
M. van Buren 56'
S. Tecl 32'
L. Provod 22'
1/13/2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Cascade Resort Lagos - Campo 2

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Servette FC45%
×Draw25%
Slavia Praha30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Servette FC
1.60
Slavia Praha
1.25

Servette FC creates 28% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 5 away

creates per match

Servette FC
2.00
Slavia Praha
1.40

allows per match

Servette FC
1.09
Slavia Praha
1.20

finishing

Servette FC+0.00on par
Slavia Praha+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Servette FC ↓

Slavia Praha →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
54%46%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Servette FC or draw
70%
Servette FC or Slavia Praha
75%
Draw or Slavia Praha
55%

Winning margin

Servette FC wins by 2+
23%
Slavia Praha wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Servette FC 1+ goals
80%
Servette FC 2+ goals
47%
Servette FC 3+ goals
22%
Slavia Praha 1+ goals
71%
Slavia Praha 2+ goals
36%
Slavia Praha 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Servette FC (draw refunded)
60%
Slavia Praha (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Servette FC at home — creates 2.00, concedes 1.09 · 11 matches

Slavia Praha away — creates 1.40, concedes 1.20 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Servette FC attack 2.00 + Slavia Praha defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.60

Slavia Praha attack 1.40 + Servette FC defence 1.09 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Servette FC scores more
45%
level
25%
Slavia Praha scores more
30%

Servette FC at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Servette FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

22'
L. Provod
32'
S. Tecl
46'
M. Bauer← M. Diallo
56'
M. van Buren
60'
I. Schranz← D. Halinsky
60'
I. Traore← M. Talovierov
60'
Ewerton← P. Olayinka
66'
M. Usor← D. Smiga
76'
B. SouareOwn goal
80'
P. Hronek← J. Boril

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Servette FC vs Slavia Praha

Slavia Praha beat Servette FC 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 13, 2023.

Goals: L. Provod (22'), S. Tecl (32'), M. van Buren (56'), B. Souare (76' o.g.).

The match was played at Cascade Resort Lagos - Campo 2 in Lagos.