Sivasspor 1–1 Konyaspor: Result & Stats

Sivasspor

FT

1 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Konyaspor

E. Başsan 8'

Y. Erdoğan 13'

2/22/2025

League #203 · Round 25BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Sivasspor48%

×Draw30%

Konyaspor22%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SivassporExpected goals in this matchKonyaspor

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.23

0.72

Sivasspor

1.23

Konyaspor

0.72

Sivasspor creates 71% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 18 away

0.67

creates per match

1.11

0.33

allows per match

1.78

creates per match

Sivasspor

0.67

Konyaspor

1.11

allows per match

Sivasspor

0.33

Konyaspor

1.78

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sivasspor+0.00on par

Konyaspor+0.00on par

Total goals

Under69
Over31

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No64
Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sivasspor ↓

Konyaspor →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–014%

0–110%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–018%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–18%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

86%14%1.5

58%42%2.5

31%69%3.5

13%87%4.5

5%95%

Double chance

Sivasspor or draw

78%

Sivasspor or Konyaspor

70%

Draw or Konyaspor

52%

Winning margin

Sivasspor wins by 2+

22%

Konyaspor wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

Sivasspor 1+ goals

71%

Sivasspor 2+ goals

35%

Sivasspor 3+ goals

13%

Konyaspor 1+ goals

51%

Konyaspor 2+ goals

16%

Konyaspor 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

Sivasspor (draw refunded)

69%

Konyaspor (draw refunded)

31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

24%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sivasspor at home — creates 0.67, concedes 0.33 · 3 matches

Konyaspor away — creates 1.11, concedes 1.78 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sivasspor attack 0.67 + Konyaspor defence 1.78 → ÷2 → 1.23

Konyaspor attack 1.11 + Sivasspor defence 0.33 → ÷2 → 0.72

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Sivasspor scores more

48%

level

30%

Konyaspor scores more

22%

Sivasspor at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Sivasspor will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

8

C. Charisis

Sivasspor · M

8.2

Match Events

8'

E. Başsan↳ C. Charisis

13'

28'

32'

37'

42'

A. Pritchard← E. Başsan

46'

N. Sonko Sundberg← S. Camara

57'

Pedrinho

70'

T. Taşçı← M. İbrahimoğlu

70'

O. Ülgün← L. Prip

70'

E. Boateng← M. Jevtović

73'

U. Nayir← B. Kramer

78'

Uroš RadakovićCard upgrade

80'

Uroš Radaković

81'

E. Başyiğit← E. Bekiroğlu

84'

85'

90+2'

90+2'

90+2'

A. Turgunboev← F. Koita

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

SivassporKonyaspor

Overview

54%Possession46%

11Total Shots9

0.55Expected Goals (xG)0.67

4Corners2

11Fouls18

Shots

11Total Shots9

2On Target5

5Off Target3

4Blocked1

3Inside Box6

8Outside Box3

Passing

54%Possession46%

474Total Passes400

378Accurate Passes299

80%Pass Accuracy75%

Goalkeeping

4Saves1

-0.63Goals Prevented-0.63

Discipline

11Fouls18

2Yellow Cards4

1Red Cards0

1Offsides3

Match Recap: Sivasspor vs Konyaspor

Sivasspor and Konyaspor drew 1-1 in League #203 on February 22, 2025.

Goals: E. Başsan (8'), Y. Erdoğan (13').

Sivasspor controlled possession (54%) and registered 11 shots to 9.

The match was played at BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu in Sivas.

Sivasspor vs Konyaspor — League #203 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Sivasspor vs Konyaspor