Konyaspor 0–0 Sivasspor: Result & Stats

Konyaspor

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Sivasspor

9/21/2024

League #203 · Round 6Medaş Konya Büyükşehir Stadyumu

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Konyaspor34%

×Draw29%

Sivasspor37%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

KonyasporExpected goals in this matchSivasspor

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.09

1.16

Konyaspor

1.09

Sivasspor

1.16

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 15 home / 4 away

0.93

creates per match

1.25

1.07

allows per match

1.25

creates per match

Konyaspor

0.93

Sivasspor

1.25

allows per match

Konyaspor

1.07

Sivasspor

1.25

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Konyaspor+0.00on par

Sivasspor+0.00on par

Total goals

Under61
Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No54
Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Konyaspor ↓

Sivasspor →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–112%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–17%

2–24%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

66%34%2.5

39%61%3.5

19%81%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Konyaspor or draw

63%

Konyaspor or Sivasspor

71%

Draw or Sivasspor

66%

Winning margin

Konyaspor wins by 2+

13%

Sivasspor wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Konyaspor 1+ goals

66%

Konyaspor 2+ goals

30%

Konyaspor 3+ goals

10%

Sivasspor 1+ goals

69%

Sivasspor 2+ goals

32%

Sivasspor 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Konyaspor (draw refunded)

48%

Sivasspor (draw refunded)

52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

32%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Konyaspor at home — creates 0.93, concedes 1.07 · 15 matches

Sivasspor away — creates 1.25, concedes 1.25 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Konyaspor attack 0.93 + Sivasspor defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.09

Sivasspor attack 1.25 + Konyaspor defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.16

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

Konyaspor scores more

34%

level

29%

Sivasspor scores more

37%

Sivasspor at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Sivasspor will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

27

J. Słowik

Konyaspor · G

8.2

Match Events

32'

36'

46'

46'

48'

60'

61'

T. Böke← A. Turgunboev

68'

B. Kramer← U. Nayir

68'

Y. Erdoğan← A. Ndao

76'

J. Biegański← A. Pritchard

76'

Q. Menig← Garry Rodrigues

84'

Samuel Moutoussamy

87'

M. İbrahimoğlu← M. Jevtović

88'

88'

90+5'

90'

90+1'

90+1'

Z. Erdal← S. Moutoussamy

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

KonyasporSivasspor

Overview

55%Possession45%

15Total Shots10

1.03Expected Goals (xG)0.86

7Corners4

17Fouls14

Shots

15Total Shots10

5On Target5

6Off Target3

4Blocked2

11Inside Box6

4Outside Box4

Passing

55%Possession45%

437Total Passes372

358Accurate Passes301

82%Pass Accuracy81%

Goalkeeping

5Saves5

0.96Goals Prevented0.96

Discipline

17Fouls14

5Yellow Cards4

0Offsides2

League #203: Konyaspor 0–0 Sivasspor

Konyaspor and Sivasspor drew 0-0 in League #203 on September 21, 2024.

Konyaspor controlled possession (55%) and registered 15 shots to 10.

The match was played at Medaş Konya Büyükşehir Stadyumu in Konya.

Konyaspor vs Sivasspor — League #203 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

League #203: Konyaspor 0–0 Sivasspor