Sarmiento Junin 0–0 Huracan: Result & Stats

Sarmiento Junin

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Huracan

9/13/2021

Liga Profesional Argentina · 2nd Phase - 11Estadio Eva Perón de Junín

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 16+ matches

Sarmiento Junin36%

×Draw31%

Huracan33%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Sarmiento JuninExpected goals in this matchHuracan

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.00

0.95

Sarmiento Junin

1.00

Huracan

0.95

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 17 home / 16 away

1.00

creates per match

0.84

1.06

allows per match

1.01

creates per match

Sarmiento Junin

1.00

Huracan

0.84

allows per match

Sarmiento Junin

1.06

Huracan

1.01

-0.12scores less than expected

finishing

+0.10scores more than expected

finishing

Sarmiento Junin-0.12scores less

Huracan+0.10scores more

Total goals

Under69
Over31

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No61
Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sarmiento Junin ↓

Huracan →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–014%

0–114%

0–26%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–114%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–07%

2–17%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–02%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

86%14%1.5

58%42%2.5

31%69%3.5

13%87%4.5

5%95%

Double chance

Sarmiento Junin or draw

67%

Sarmiento Junin or Huracan

69%

Draw or Huracan

64%

Winning margin

Sarmiento Junin wins by 2+

14%

Huracan wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Sarmiento Junin 1+ goals

63%

Sarmiento Junin 2+ goals

26%

Sarmiento Junin 3+ goals

8%

Huracan 1+ goals

61%

Huracan 2+ goals

25%

Huracan 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Sarmiento Junin (draw refunded)

52%

Huracan (draw refunded)

48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

25%

Both score & under 3

14%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sarmiento Junin at home — creates 1.00, concedes 1.06 · 17 matches

Huracan away — creates 0.84, concedes 1.01 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sarmiento Junin attack 1.00 + Huracan defence 1.01 → ÷2 → 1.00

Huracan attack 0.84 + Sarmiento Junin defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 0.95

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 36%?"

Sarmiento Junin scores more

36%

level

31%

Huracan scores more

33%

Sarmiento Junin at 36% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 36% does not mean "Sarmiento Junin will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

M. Díaz

Huracan · G

8.0

Match Events

19'

Jhonatan Candia

24'

Jonathan Galván

38'

Martín García

46'

M. Molina← Martín García

56'

G. Graciani← G. Mainero

57'

G. Núñez← F. Paradela

60'

M. Cóccaro← J. Candia

60'

S. Hezze← F. Cristaldo

64'

R. Salinas← J. Torres

66'

César Ibáñez

73'

Claudio Yacob

73'

J. Acevedo← R. Cabral

75'

79'

85'

85'

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

SarmientoHuracan

Overview

43%Possession57%

11Total Shots13

4Corners8

21Fouls15

Shots

11Total Shots13

4On Target3

4Off Target5

3Blocked5

5Inside Box8

6Outside Box5

Passing

43%Possession57%

259Total Passes338

162Accurate Passes233

63%Pass Accuracy69%

Goalkeeping

3Saves4

Discipline

21Fouls15

2Yellow Cards4

3Offsides2

Liga Profesional Argentina: Sarmiento Junin 0–0 Huracan

Sarmiento Junin and Huracan drew 0-0 in Liga Profesional Argentina on September 13, 2021.

Huracan controlled possession (57%) and registered 13 shots to 11.

The match was played at Estadio Eva Perón de Junín in Junín, Provincia de Buenos Aires.

Sarmiento Junin vs Huracan — Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Liga Profesional Argentina: Sarmiento Junin 0–0 Huracan