Sandefjord 0–0 Haugesund: Result & Stats

Sandefjord

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Haugesund

8/27/2023

Eliteserien · Round 20Release Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 15+ matches

Sandefjord50%

×Draw23%

Haugesund27%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

SandefjordExpected goals in this matchHaugesund

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.79

1.25

Sandefjord

1.79

Haugesund

1.25

Sandefjord creates 43% more chances

Season form · 27 home / 15 away

1.37

creates per match

1.25

allows per match

2.20

creates per match

Sandefjord

1.37

Haugesund

1.25

allows per match

Sandefjord

1.25

Haugesund

2.20

+0.26scores more than expected

finishing

-0.12scores less than expected

finishing

Sandefjord+0.26scores more

Haugesund-0.12scores less

Total goals

Over58
Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sandefjord ↓

Haugesund →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–09%

1–111%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

81%19%2.5

58%42%3.5

36%64%4.5

19%81%

Double chance

Sandefjord or draw

73%

Sandefjord or Haugesund

77%

Draw or Haugesund

50%

Winning margin

Sandefjord wins by 2+

27%

Haugesund wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Sandefjord 1+ goals

83%

Sandefjord 2+ goals

53%

Sandefjord 3+ goals

26%

Haugesund 1+ goals

71%

Haugesund 2+ goals

36%

Haugesund 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Sandefjord (draw refunded)

65%

Haugesund (draw refunded)

35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

49%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sandefjord at home — creates 1.37, concedes 1.25 · 27 matches

Haugesund away — creates 1.25, concedes 2.20 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sandefjord attack 1.37 + Haugesund defence 2.20 → ÷2 → 1.79

Haugesund attack 1.25 + Sandefjord defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Sandefjord scores more

50%

level

23%

Haugesund scores more

27%

Sandefjord at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Sandefjord will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

15

J. Taaje

Sandefjord · D

9.2

Match Events

15'

54'

57'

58'

69'

K. Ayer← S. Mørk

70'

A. Tveter← F. Nyenetue

72'

U. Fredriksen← C. Niyukuri

81'

J. Eskesen← Bruno Leite

81'

M. Sande← S. Diarra

84'

J. Kjær← A. Damnjanovic Nilsson

89'

89'

89'

90+7'

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

SandefjordHaugesund

Overview

60%Possession40%

16Total Shots14

1.82Expected Goals (xG)1.73

8Corners6

5Fouls10

Shots

16Total Shots14

6On Target4

7Off Target5

3Blocked5

8Inside Box10

8Outside Box4

Passing

60%Possession40%

426Total Passes280

327Accurate Passes200

77%Pass Accuracy71%

Goalkeeping

3Saves6

Discipline

5Fouls10

2Yellow Cards3

0Red Cards1

4Offsides1

Eliteserien: Sandefjord 0–0 Haugesund

Sandefjord and Haugesund drew 0-0 in Eliteserien on August 27, 2023.

Sandefjord controlled possession (60%) and registered 16 shots to 14.

The match was played at Release Arena in Sandefjord.

Sandefjord vs Haugesund — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Eliteserien: Sandefjord 0–0 Haugesund