River Plate 1–1 Talleres Cordoba: Result & Stats

River Plate

FT

1 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Talleres Cordoba

Miguel Borja 88'

V. Depietri 51'

4/13/2025

Liga Profesional Argentina · 1st Phase - 13Estadio Monumental

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 19+ matches

River Plate55%

×Draw25%

Talleres Cordoba20%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

River PlateExpected goals in this matchTalleres Cordoba

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.61

0.86

River Plate

1.61

Talleres Cordoba

0.86

River Plate creates 87% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 19 away

1.93

creates per match

0.96

0.77

allows per match

1.30

creates per match

River Plate

1.93

Talleres Cordoba

0.96

allows per match

River Plate

0.77

Talleres Cordoba

1.30

+0.02on par

finishing

-0.01on par

finishing

River Plate+0.02on par

Talleres Cordoba-0.01on par

Total goals

Under55
Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No54
Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

River Plate ↓

Talleres Cordoba →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–17%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–112%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

45%55%3.5

23%77%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

River Plate or draw

80%

River Plate or Talleres Cordoba

75%

Draw or Talleres Cordoba

45%

Winning margin

River Plate wins by 2+

29%

Talleres Cordoba wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

River Plate 1+ goals

80%

River Plate 2+ goals

48%

River Plate 3+ goals

22%

Talleres Cordoba 1+ goals

58%

Talleres Cordoba 2+ goals

21%

Talleres Cordoba 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

River Plate (draw refunded)

73%

Talleres Cordoba (draw refunded)

27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

34%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

River Plate at home — creates 1.93, concedes 0.77 · 22 matches

Talleres Cordoba away — creates 0.96, concedes 1.30 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

River Plate attack 1.93 + Talleres Cordoba defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.61

Talleres Cordoba attack 0.96 + River Plate defence 0.77 → ÷2 → 0.86

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

River Plate scores more

55%

level

25%

Talleres Cordoba scores more

20%

River Plate at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "River Plate will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

22

G. Herrera

Talleres Cordoba · G

8.9

Match Events

34'

Nahuel Bustos

46'

A. Schott← S. Fernandez

46'

V. Depietri← N. Bustos

51'

V. Depietri↳ U. Ortegoza

52'

G. Pezzella← P. Diaz

52'

Miguel Borja← E. Perez

71'

J. Mosqueira← E. Reynoso

71'

C. Tarragona← F. Girotti

75'

N. Fernandez← S. Simon

75'

I. Subiabre← F. Colidio

82'

M. Portillo← J. Portilla

86'

Germán Pezzella

86'

Matías Galarza

88'

Miguel Borja↳ G. Montiel

90+4'

Franco Mastantuono

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

RiverTalleres

Overview

64%Possession36%

17Total Shots9

5Corners1

9Fouls14

Shots

17Total Shots9

8On Target2

6Off Target6

3Blocked1

13Inside Box4

4Outside Box5

Passing

64%Possession36%

453Total Passes261

377Accurate Passes169

83%Pass Accuracy65%

Goalkeeping

1Saves7

Discipline

9Fouls14

2Yellow Cards2

7Offsides3

Match Recap: River Plate vs Talleres Cordoba

River Plate and Talleres Cordoba drew 1-1 in Liga Profesional Argentina on April 13, 2025.

Goals: V. Depietri (51'), Miguel Borja (88').

River Plate controlled possession (64%) and registered 17 shots to 9.

The match was played at Estadio Monumental in Buenos Aires.

River Plate vs Talleres Cordoba — Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: River Plate vs Talleres Cordoba