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Racing Club vs Central Cordoba de Santiago — Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Racing Club
Racing Club
FT
3 – 1
HT: 2 – 0
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Central Cordoba de Santiago
N. Oroz 57'
A. Ojeda 45+1'
J. Nardoni 40'
E. Kalinski 66'
7/24/2023Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional Argentina · Round 26Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 19+ matches

Racing Club46%
×Draw29%
Central Cordoba de Santiago25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Racing Club
1.26
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0.86

Racing Club creates 47% more chances

Season form · 21 home / 19 away

creates per match

Racing Club
1.14
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0.74

allows per match

Racing Club
0.99
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1.38

finishing

Racing Club+0.48scores more
Central Cordoba de Santiago+0.10scores more

Total goals

64%Under
  • Under64
  • Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

59%No
  • No59
  • Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Racing Club ↓

Central Cordoba de Santiago →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
63%37%2.5
36%64%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Racing Club or draw
75%
Racing Club or Central Cordoba de Santiago
71%
Draw or Central Cordoba de Santiago
54%

Winning margin

Racing Club wins by 2+
21%
Central Cordoba de Santiago wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Racing Club 1+ goals
72%
Racing Club 2+ goals
36%
Racing Club 3+ goals
13%
Central Cordoba de Santiago 1+ goals
58%
Central Cordoba de Santiago 2+ goals
21%
Central Cordoba de Santiago 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Racing Club (draw refunded)
64%
Central Cordoba de Santiago (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
28%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Racing Club at home — creates 1.14, concedes 0.99 · 21 matches

Central Cordoba de Santiago away — creates 0.74, concedes 1.38 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Racing Club attack 1.14 + Central Cordoba de Santiago defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.26

Central Cordoba de Santiago attack 0.74 + Racing Club defence 0.99 → ÷2 → 0.86

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Racing Club scores more
46%
level
29%
Central Cordoba de Santiago scores more
25%

Racing Club at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Racing Club will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

23
N. OrozRacing ClubRacing Club · F
8.3

Match Events

25'
Brian Blasi
36'
Leandro Maciel
40'
J. Nardoni↳ N. Oroz
45+1'
A. Ojeda↳ T. Avilés
46'
I. Pillud← J. Nardoni
57'
N. Oroz↳ G. Piovi
58'
R. Cansinos← B. Farioli
58'
E. Kalinski← L. Maciel
60'
T. Pérez← N. Oroz
66'
E. Kalinski
69'
B. Gallego← A. Ojeda
80'
M. Moralez← G. Hauche
80'
S. Vera← J. Gómez
80'
F. Jourdan← C. Rius
89'
Enzo Kalinski
90'
N. Leguizamón← J. Gómez

Possession

63%Racing

Shots

14Racing

Pass accuracy

56%Racing

Statistics

RacingCentral
Overview
63%Possession37%
14Total Shots14
2.43Expected Goals (xG)0.79
6Corners4
16Fouls16
Shots
14Total Shots14
6On Target7
5Off Target7
3Blocked0
11Inside Box11
3Outside Box3
Passing
63%Possession37%
490Total Passes279
383Accurate Passes174
78%Pass Accuracy62%
Goalkeeping
6Saves3
Discipline
16Fouls16
0Yellow Cards3
1Offsides4

Liga Profesional Argentina: Racing Club 3–1 Central Cordoba de Santiago

Racing Club beat Central Cordoba de Santiago 3-1 in Liga Profesional Argentina on July 24, 2023.

Goals: J. Nardoni (40'), A. Ojeda (45+1'), N. Oroz (57'), E. Kalinski (66').

Racing Club controlled possession (63%) and registered 14 shots to 14.

The match was played at Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón in Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires.