Scoreo

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina 2026

11/3/2025Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional Argentina · 2nd Phase - 14Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 17+ matches

Central Cordoba de Santiago43%
×Draw28%
Racing Club29%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Central Cordoba de Santiago
1.29
Racing Club
0.99

Central Cordoba de Santiago creates 30% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 21 away

creates per match

Central Cordoba de Santiago
1.27
Racing Club
1.06

allows per match

Central Cordoba de Santiago
0.91
Racing Club
1.30

finishing

Central Cordoba de Santiago+0.08on par
Racing Club+0.04on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Central Cordoba de Santiago

Racing Club
0
1
2
3
4
0
0010%
0110%
025%
032%
040%
1
1013%
1113%
126%
132%
141%
2
209%
218%
224%
231%
240%
3
304%
314%
322%
331%
340%
4
401%
411%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
66%34%2.5
40%60%3.5
20%80%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Central Cordoba de Santiago or draw
71%
Central Cordoba de Santiago or Racing Club
72%
Draw or Racing Club
57%

Winning margin

Central Cordoba de Santiago wins by 2+
20%
Racing Club wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Central Cordoba de Santiago 1+ goals
72%
Central Cordoba de Santiago 2+ goals
37%
Central Cordoba de Santiago 3+ goals
14%
Racing Club 1+ goals
63%
Racing Club 2+ goals
26%
Racing Club 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Central Cordoba de Santiago (draw refunded)
60%
Racing Club (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
32%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Central Cordoba de Santiago at homecreates 1.27, concedes 0.91 · 17 matches

Racing Club awaycreates 1.06, concedes 1.30 · 21 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Central Cordoba de Santiago attack 1.27 + Racing Club defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.29

Racing Club attack 1.06 + Central Cordoba de Santiago defence 0.91 → ÷2 → 0.99

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Central Cordoba de Santiago scores more
43%
level
28%
Racing Club scores more
29%

Central Cordoba de Santiago at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Central Cordoba de Santiago will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

23
N. ColomboRacing ClubRacing Club · D
8.0

Possession

44%Central

Shots

14Central

Pass accuracy

49%Central

Statistics

CentralRacing
Overview
44%Possession56%
14Total Shots9
0.97Expected Goals (xG)0.48
7Corners4
7Fouls6
Shots
14Total Shots9
2On Target3
6Off Target5
6Blocked1
6Inside Box5
8Outside Box4
Passing
44%Possession56%
310Total Passes423
250Accurate Passes363
81%Pass Accuracy86%
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
0.07Goals Prevented0.07
Discipline
7Fouls6
2Yellow Cards1
6Offsides1

Match Recap: Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Racing Club

Central Cordoba de Santiago and Racing Club drew 0-0 in Liga Profesional Argentina on November 3, 2025.

Racing Club controlled possession (56%) and registered 9 shots to 14.

The match was played at Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades in Santiago del Estero.