Central Cordoba de Santiago 1–3 Racing Club

Central Cordoba de Santiago

FT

1 – 3

HT: 0 – 1

Racing Club

R. López 76'

C. Alcaraz 85'

E. Copetti 49', 27'

7/23/2022

Liga Profesional Argentina · 2nd Phase - 10Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 17+ matches

Central Cordoba de Santiago43%

×Draw28%

Racing Club29%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Central Cordoba de SantiagoExpected goals in this matchRacing Club

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.29

0.99

Central Cordoba de Santiago

1.29

Racing Club

0.99

Central Cordoba de Santiago creates 30% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 21 away

1.27

creates per match

1.06

0.91

allows per match

1.30

creates per match

Central Cordoba de Santiago

1.27

Racing Club

1.06

allows per match

Central Cordoba de Santiago

0.91

Racing Club

1.30

+0.08on par

finishing

+0.04on par

finishing

Central Cordoba de Santiago+0.08on par

Racing Club+0.04on par

Total goals

Under60
Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No54
Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Central Cordoba de Santiago ↓

Racing Club →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–110%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–18%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

66%34%2.5

40%60%3.5

20%80%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Central Cordoba de Santiago or draw

71%

Central Cordoba de Santiago or Racing Club

72%

Draw or Racing Club

57%

Winning margin

Central Cordoba de Santiago wins by 2+

20%

Racing Club wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Central Cordoba de Santiago 1+ goals

72%

Central Cordoba de Santiago 2+ goals

37%

Central Cordoba de Santiago 3+ goals

14%

Racing Club 1+ goals

63%

Racing Club 2+ goals

26%

Racing Club 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Central Cordoba de Santiago (draw refunded)

60%

Racing Club (draw refunded)

40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

32%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Central Cordoba de Santiago at home — creates 1.27, concedes 0.91 · 17 matches

Racing Club away — creates 1.06, concedes 1.30 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Central Cordoba de Santiago attack 1.27 + Racing Club defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.29

Racing Club attack 1.06 + Central Cordoba de Santiago defence 0.91 → ÷2 → 0.99

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Central Cordoba de Santiago scores more

43%

level

28%

Racing Club scores more

29%

Central Cordoba de Santiago at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Central Cordoba de Santiago will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

9

E. Copetti

Racing Club · F

7.9

Match Events

-5'

Enzo Copetti

27'

E. Copetti↳ J. Galván

46'

F. Mura← I. Pillud

48'

Gonzalo Piovi

49'

E. Copetti↳ G. Hauche

57'

M. Rojas← N. Oroz

64'

C. Alcaraz← Jonatan Gómez

65'

Gabriel Hauche

65'

L. Miranda← G. Hauche

65'

M. Romero← E. Copetti

66'

H. López← A. Martínez

66'

76'

85'

86'

87'

90'

R. Montes← F. González

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

CentralRacing

Overview

34%Possession66%

11Total Shots16

4Corners5

6Fouls12

Shots

11Total Shots16

2On Target6

6Off Target8

3Blocked2

8Inside Box11

3Outside Box5

Passing

34%Possession66%

276Total Passes560

181Accurate Passes481

66%Pass Accuracy86%

Goalkeeping

3Saves1

Discipline

6Fouls12

0Yellow Cards3

3Offsides0

Liga Profesional Argentina: Central Cordoba de Santiago 1–3 Racing Club

Racing Club beat Central Cordoba de Santiago 3-1 in Liga Profesional Argentina on July 23, 2022.

Goals: E. Copetti (27', 49'), R. López (76'), C. Alcaraz (85').

Racing Club controlled possession (66%) and registered 16 shots to 11.

The match was played at Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades in Santiago del Estero, Prov. de Santiago del Estero.

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Racing Club — Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Liga Profesional Argentina: Central Cordoba de Santiago 1–3 Racing Club