Platense 0–0 Rosario Central: Result & Stats

Platense

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Rosario Central

4/15/2025

Liga Profesional Argentina · 1st Phase - 13Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 17+ matches

Platense41%

×Draw32%

Rosario Central27%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

PlatenseExpected goals in this matchRosario Central

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.06

0.79

Platense

1.06

Rosario Central

0.79

Platense creates 34% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 18 away

1.05

creates per match

0.91

0.67

allows per match

1.08

creates per match

Platense

1.05

Rosario Central

0.91

allows per match

Platense

0.67

Rosario Central

1.08

-0.34scores less than expected

finishing

-0.08on par

finishing

Platense-0.34scores less

Rosario Central-0.08on par

Total goals

Under72
Over28

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No64
Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Platense ↓

Rosario Central →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–016%

0–112%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–017%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–17%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

84%16%1.5

55%45%2.5

28%72%3.5

12%88%4.5

4%96%

Double chance

Platense or draw

73%

Platense or Rosario Central

68%

Draw or Rosario Central

59%

Winning margin

Platense wins by 2+

17%

Rosario Central wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Platense 1+ goals

65%

Platense 2+ goals

29%

Platense 3+ goals

9%

Rosario Central 1+ goals

55%

Rosario Central 2+ goals

19%

Rosario Central 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Platense (draw refunded)

61%

Rosario Central (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

23%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Platense at home — creates 1.05, concedes 0.67 · 17 matches

Rosario Central away — creates 0.91, concedes 1.08 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Platense attack 1.05 + Rosario Central defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.06

Rosario Central attack 0.91 + Platense defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.79

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Platense scores more

41%

level

32%

Rosario Central scores more

27%

Platense at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Platense will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

6

O. Salomon

Platense · D

7.6

Match Events

-5'

Ignacio Malcorra

51'

Ignacio Vazquez

55'

G. Duarte← L. Giaccone

55'

E. Copetti← S. Ferreira

57'

60'

63'

71'

72'

77'

E. Gimenez← F. Navarro

79'

Carlos Quintana

82'

J. M. Elordi← A. Sandez

82'

A. Solari← S. Segovia

83'

F. Baldassarra← F. Juarez

83'

S. Toloza← V. Taborda

83'

F. Zapiola← R. Martinez

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

PlatenseRosario

Overview

47%Possession53%

13Total Shots10

5Corners5

11Fouls9

Shots

13Total Shots10

3On Target0

8Off Target4

2Blocked6

3Inside Box5

10Outside Box5

Passing

47%Possession53%

309Total Passes351

220Accurate Passes258

71%Pass Accuracy74%

Goalkeeping

1Saves3

Discipline

11Fouls9

3Yellow Cards3

0Offsides2