Platense 0–1 Banfield: Result & Stats

Platense

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

Banfield

G. Galoppo 44'

2/26/2022

Liga Profesional Argentina · 1st Phase - 4Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 18+ matches

Platense44%

×Draw32%

Banfield24%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

PlatenseExpected goals in this matchBanfield

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.11

0.74

Platense

1.11

Banfield

0.74

Platense creates 50% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 18 away

1.01

creates per match

0.80

0.68

allows per match

1.22

creates per match

Platense

1.01

Banfield

0.80

allows per match

Platense

0.68

Banfield

1.22

-0.36scores less than expected

finishing

-0.19scores less than expected

finishing

Platense-0.36scores less

Banfield-0.19scores less

Total goals

Under72
Over28

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No65
Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Platense ↓

Banfield →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–016%

0–112%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–017%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–17%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

84%16%1.5

55%45%2.5

28%72%3.5

12%88%4.5

4%96%

Double chance

Platense or draw

76%

Platense or Banfield

68%

Draw or Banfield

56%

Winning margin

Platense wins by 2+

18%

Banfield wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Platense 1+ goals

67%

Platense 2+ goals

30%

Platense 3+ goals

10%

Banfield 1+ goals

52%

Banfield 2+ goals

17%

Banfield 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

Platense (draw refunded)

65%

Banfield (draw refunded)

35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

22%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Platense at home — creates 1.01, concedes 0.68 · 20 matches

Banfield away — creates 0.80, concedes 1.22 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Platense attack 1.01 + Banfield defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.11

Banfield attack 0.80 + Platense defence 0.68 → ÷2 → 0.74

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Platense scores more

44%

level

32%

Banfield scores more

24%

Platense at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Platense will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

25

E. Bologna

Banfield · G

7.5

Match Events

13'

K. Andrade← G. Suso

32'

F. Russo← H. Tijanovich

37'

Alexis Maldonado

44'

G. Galoppo

46'

H. Canteros← N. Bertolo

54'

59'

65'

65'

69'

73'

R. Contreras← I. Gómez

73'

F. Baldassarra← H. Lamberti

75'

J. Andrada← A. Urzi

75'

J. Eseiza← G. Galoppo

85'

90'

90+5'

90+5'

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

PlatenseBanfield

Overview

58%Possession42%

9Total Shots14

7Corners4

8Fouls17

Shots

9Total Shots14

2On Target4

3Off Target7

4Blocked3

8Inside Box5

1Outside Box9

Passing

58%Possession42%

448Total Passes338

352Accurate Passes247

79%Pass Accuracy73%

Goalkeeping

3Saves2

Discipline

8Fouls17

2Yellow Cards4

0Red Cards1

2Offsides4

Match Recap: Platense vs Banfield

Banfield beat Platense 1-0 in Liga Profesional Argentina on February 26, 2022.

Goals: G. Galoppo (44').

Platense controlled possession (58%) and registered 9 shots to 14.

The match was played at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López in Vicente López, Provincia de Buenos Aires.

Platense vs Banfield — Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Platense vs Banfield