Petaling Jaya City 1–0 UiTM FC: Result & Stats

Petaling Jaya City

1 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

UiTM FC

Khyril Muhymeen Zambri 39'

9/4/2021

League #278 · Round 21Stadium Petaling Jaya

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Petaling Jaya City56%

×Draw25%

UiTM FC19%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Petaling Jaya CityExpected goals in this matchUiTM FC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.60

0.83

Petaling Jaya City

1.60

UiTM FC

0.83

Petaling Jaya City creates 93% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 3 away

1.20

creates per match

0.67

1.00

allows per match

2.00

creates per match

Petaling Jaya City

1.20

UiTM FC

0.67

allows per match

Petaling Jaya City

1.00

UiTM FC

2.00

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Petaling Jaya City+0.00on par

UiTM FC+0.00on par

Total goals

Under56
Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No55
Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Petaling Jaya City ↓

UiTM FC →

0–09%

0–17%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1–014%

1–112%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2–011%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3–06%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

70%30%2.5

44%56%3.5

23%77%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Petaling Jaya City or draw

81%

Petaling Jaya City or UiTM FC

75%

Draw or UiTM FC

44%

Winning margin

Petaling Jaya City wins by 2+

30%

UiTM FC wins by 2+

Team goals

Petaling Jaya City 1+ goals

80%

Petaling Jaya City 2+ goals

47%

Petaling Jaya City 3+ goals

22%

UiTM FC 1+ goals

56%

UiTM FC 2+ goals

20%

UiTM FC 3+ goals

Draw no bet

Petaling Jaya City (draw refunded)

74%

UiTM FC (draw refunded)

26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

33%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Petaling Jaya City at home — creates 1.20, concedes 1.00 · 5 matches

UiTM FC away — creates 0.67, concedes 2.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Petaling Jaya City attack 1.20 + UiTM FC defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.60

UiTM FC attack 0.67 + Petaling Jaya City defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 56%?"

Petaling Jaya City scores more

56%

level

25%

UiTM FC scores more

19%

Petaling Jaya City at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Petaling Jaya City will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

39'

Khyril Muhymeen Zambri

60'

Y. Maniom

64'

Rafie Mat Yaacob← Joel

77'

V. Ruventhiran← M. Youwarasan

77'

Zainal Abidin← Khyril Muhymeen Zambri

81'

Hisyamudin Sha'ari← Faizal Arif

86'

Syafiq Al-Hafiz Dawawi← O. Fane

86'

Dirga Surdi← S. Gan Giannelli

88'

Filemon Anyie Standly← M. Kogileswaran Raj

90+6'

Ahmad Khairil Anuar Zamri← Darren Lok

90+7'

D. Kugan← P. Rajesh

Petaling

UiTM

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽

▼

▼

▼

Manager: P. Maniam

77'▲V. Ruventhiran←▼M. Youwarasan

77'▲Zainal Abidin←▼Khyril Muhymeen Zambri

88'▲Filemon Anyie Standly←▼M. Kogileswaran Raj

90+6'▲Ahmad Khairil Anuar Zamri←▼Darren Lok

90+7'▲D. Kugan←▼P. Rajesh

Petaling Jaya City substitutes

19Ruventhiran59Abidin27Standly8Zamri11Kugan13Thivandaran21Prabakaran33Hazmi

Manager: R. Abdullah

64'▲Rafie Mat Yaacob←▼Joel

81'▲Hisyamudin Sha'ari←▼Faizal Arif

86'▲Syafiq Al-Hafiz Dawawi←▼O. Fane

86'▲Dirga Surdi←▼S. Gan Giannelli

UiTM FC substitutes

7Yaacob95Sha'ari16Dawawi17Surdi24Sukri29Latif27Rosli9Sabri8Mailang

League #278: Petaling Jaya City 1–0 UiTM FC

Petaling Jaya City beat UiTM FC 1-0 in League #278 on September 4, 2021.

Goals: Khyril Muhymeen Zambri (39').

The match was played at Stadium Petaling Jaya in Petaling Jaya.

Petaling Jaya City vs UiTM FC — League #278 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

League #278: Petaling Jaya City 1–0 UiTM FC