ODD Ballklubb 2–2 Molde: Result & Stats

ODD Ballklubb

FT

2 – 2

HT: 0 – 2

Molde

Torgeir Børven 87'

Fredrik Nordkvelle 48'

Ohi Omoijuanfo 27'

Leke James 21'

7/5/2019

Eliteserien · Round 14Skagerak Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 23+ matches

ODD Ballklubb33%

×Draw25%

Molde42%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

ODD BallklubbExpected goals in this matchMolde

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.29

1.48

ODD Ballklubb

1.29

Molde

1.48

Molde creates 15% more chances

Season form · 23 home / 37 away

1.30

creates per match

1.47

1.49

allows per match

1.29

creates per match

ODD Ballklubb

1.30

Molde

1.47

allows per match

ODD Ballklubb

1.49

Molde

1.29

+0.05on par

finishing

-0.01on par

finishing

ODD Ballklubb+0.05on par

Molde-0.01on par

Total goals

Over52
Under48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes56
No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

ODD Ballklubb ↓

Molde →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–19%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–112%

1–29%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

76%24%2.5

52%48%3.5

30%70%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

ODD Ballklubb or draw

58%

ODD Ballklubb or Molde

75%

Draw or Molde

67%

Winning margin

ODD Ballklubb wins by 2+

14%

Molde wins by 2+

20%

Team goals

ODD Ballklubb 1+ goals

72%

ODD Ballklubb 2+ goals

37%

ODD Ballklubb 3+ goals

14%

Molde 1+ goals

77%

Molde 2+ goals

43%

Molde 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

ODD Ballklubb (draw refunded)

44%

Molde (draw refunded)

56%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

44%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

ODD Ballklubb at home — creates 1.30, concedes 1.49 · 23 matches

Molde away — creates 1.47, concedes 1.29 · 37 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

ODD Ballklubb attack 1.30 + Molde defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.29

Molde attack 1.47 + ODD Ballklubb defence 1.49 → ÷2 → 1.48

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

ODD Ballklubb scores more

33%

level

25%

Molde scores more

42%

Molde at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Molde will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

99

Ohi Omoijuanfo

Molde · M

8.2

Match Events

21'

Leke James↳ Ohi Omoijuanfo

27'

Ohi Omoijuanfo↳ Kristoffer Haraldseid

46'

Marcus Andre Kaasa← Joshua Kitolano

48'

Fredrik Nordkvelle↳ Torgeir Børven

59'

Erling Knudtzon← Eirik Hestad

77'

Filip Moller Delaveris← Sander Svendsen

81'

Magnus Eikrem

83'

Tobias Lauritsen← Elbasan Rashani

83'

Mattias Mostrom← Ohi Omoijuanfo

84'

Etzaz Hussain← Magnus Eikrem

87'

Torgeir Børven↳ Filip Moller Delaveris

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

ODDMolde

Overview

51%Possession49%

14Total Shots8

1Corners4

13Fouls9

Shots

14Total Shots8

2On Target3

8Off Target3

4Blocked2

7Inside Box6

7Outside Box2

Passing

51%Possession49%

478Total Passes456

392Accurate Passes369

82%Pass Accuracy81%

Goalkeeping

1Saves0

Discipline

13Fouls9

0Yellow Cards1

1Offsides3

Match Recap: ODD Ballklubb vs Molde

ODD Ballklubb and Molde drew 2-2 in Eliteserien on July 5, 2019.

Goals: Leke James (21'), Ohi Omoijuanfo (27'), Fredrik Nordkvelle (48'), Torgeir Børven (87').

ODD Ballklubb controlled possession (51%) and registered 14 shots to 8.

The match was played at Skagerak Arena in Skien.

ODD Ballklubb vs Molde — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: ODD Ballklubb vs Molde