Scoreo

Molde vs Kristiansund BKFriendlies Clubs 2026

Molde
Molde
FT
00
HT: 00
Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Molde61%
×Draw21%
Kristiansund BK17%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Molde
1.97
Kristiansund BK
0.93

Molde creates 112% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 8 away

creates per match

Molde
2.32
Kristiansund BK
0.75

allows per match

Molde
1.11
Kristiansund BK
1.63

finishing

Molde+0.00on par
Kristiansund BK+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Molde

Kristiansund BK
0
1
2
3
4
0
006%
015%
022%
031%
040%
1
1011%
1110%
125%
131%
140%
2
2011%
2110%
225%
231%
240%
3
307%
317%
323%
331%
340%
4
403%
413%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Molde or draw
83%
Molde or Kristiansund BK
79%
Draw or Kristiansund BK
39%

Winning margin

Molde wins by 2+
37%
Kristiansund BK wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Molde 1+ goals
86%
Molde 2+ goals
58%
Molde 3+ goals
31%
Kristiansund BK 1+ goals
61%
Kristiansund BK 2+ goals
24%
Kristiansund BK 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Molde (draw refunded)
78%
Kristiansund BK (draw refunded)
22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Molde at homecreates 2.32, concedes 1.11 · 19 matches

Kristiansund BK awaycreates 0.75, concedes 1.63 · 8 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Molde attack 2.32 + Kristiansund BK defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.97

Kristiansund BK attack 0.75 + Molde defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 0.93

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Molde scores more
61%
level
21%
Kristiansund BK scores more
17%

Molde at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Molde will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Friendlies Clubs: Molde 0–0 Kristiansund BK

Molde and Kristiansund BK drew 0-0 in Friendlies Clubs on February 6, 2026.