Kristiansund BK 2–1 Molde: Result & Stats

Kristiansund BK

FT

2 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

Molde

M. Olsen 60'

M. Isah 49'

M. Eikrem 21'

10/4/2025

Eliteserien · Round 24Kristiansund Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 24+ matches

Kristiansund BK34%

×Draw25%

Molde41%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Kristiansund BKExpected goals in this matchMolde

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.33

1.48

Kristiansund BK

1.33

Molde

1.48

Molde creates 11% more chances

Season form · 26 home / 24 away

1.29

creates per match

1.32

1.65

allows per match

1.36

creates per match

Kristiansund BK

1.29

Molde

1.32

allows per match

Kristiansund BK

1.65

Molde

1.36

-0.06on par

finishing

-0.03on par

finishing

Kristiansund BK-0.06on par

Molde-0.03on par

Total goals

Over53
Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes57
No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kristiansund BK ↓

Molde →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–19%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–112%

1–29%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

53%47%3.5

31%69%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Kristiansund BK or draw

59%

Kristiansund BK or Molde

75%

Draw or Molde

66%

Winning margin

Kristiansund BK wins by 2+

15%

Molde wins by 2+

20%

Team goals

Kristiansund BK 1+ goals

74%

Kristiansund BK 2+ goals

38%

Kristiansund BK 3+ goals

15%

Molde 1+ goals

77%

Molde 2+ goals

43%

Molde 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

Kristiansund BK (draw refunded)

45%

Molde (draw refunded)

55%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

45%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kristiansund BK at home — creates 1.29, concedes 1.65 · 26 matches

Molde away — creates 1.32, concedes 1.36 · 24 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kristiansund BK attack 1.29 + Molde defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.33

Molde attack 1.32 + Kristiansund BK defence 1.65 → ÷2 → 1.48

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Kristiansund BK scores more

34%

level

25%

Molde scores more

41%

Molde at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Molde will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

7

M. Eikrem

Molde · F

8.5

Match Events

21'

M. Eikrem↳ S. McDermott

49'

M. Isah↳ D. Tufekcic

54'

Samukelo Kabini

60'

M. Olsen↳ A. Kryger

64'

R. Corlu← H. Sletsjoe

64'

C. Zady← E. Hestad

65'

S. Skeide← W. Igor

65'

F. Gulbrandsen← J. Abdullai

76'

N. Kasanwirjo← M. Linnes

76'

A. Roaldsoy← M. Daehli

77'

David Tufekcic

81'

L. Alvheim← M. Isah

82'

A. Ndour← D. Tufekcic

86'

Neraysho Kasanwirjo

86'

I. Jelicic← S. Kilen

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

KristiansundMolde

Overview

37%Possession63%

13Total Shots16

1.08Expected Goals (xG)1.27

5Corners7

8Fouls10

Shots

13Total Shots16

5On Target7

5Off Target5

3Blocked4

7Inside Box12

6Outside Box4

Passing

37%Possession63%

360Total Passes603

283Accurate Passes532

79%Pass Accuracy88%

Goalkeeping

6Saves3

Discipline

8Fouls10

1Yellow Cards2

2Offsides1

Match Recap: Kristiansund BK vs Molde

Kristiansund BK beat Molde 2-1 in Eliteserien on October 4, 2025.

Goals: M. Eikrem (21'), M. Isah (49'), M. Olsen (60').

Molde controlled possession (63%) and registered 16 shots to 13.

The match was played at Kristiansund Stadion in Kristiansund.

Kristiansund BK vs Molde — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Kristiansund BK vs Molde