Laval 0–0 Clermont Foot: Result & Stats | Ligue 2

Laval

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Clermont Foot

8/29/2025

Ligue 2 · Round 4Stade Francis Le Basser

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 95+ matches

Laval37%

×Draw29%

Clermont Foot34%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 585,131 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

LavalExpected goals in this matchClermont Foot

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.15

1.09

Laval

1.15

Clermont Foot

1.09

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 95 home / 98 away

1.15

creates per match

0.99

1.20

allows per match

1.16

creates per match

Laval

1.15

Clermont Foot

0.99

allows per match

Laval

1.20

Clermont Foot

1.16

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Laval+0.00on par

Clermont Foot+0.00on par

Total goals

Under61
Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No55
Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Laval ↓

Clermont Foot →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–112%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–012%

1–113%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–18%

2–24%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

65%35%2.5

39%61%3.5

19%81%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Laval or draw

66%

Laval or Clermont Foot

71%

Draw or Clermont Foot

63%

Winning margin

Laval wins by 2+

15%

Clermont Foot wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Laval 1+ goals

68%

Laval 2+ goals

32%

Laval 3+ goals

11%

Clermont Foot 1+ goals

66%

Clermont Foot 2+ goals

30%

Clermont Foot 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Laval (draw refunded)

52%

Clermont Foot (draw refunded)

48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

32%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Laval at home — creates 1.15, concedes 1.20 · 95 matches

Clermont Foot away — creates 0.99, concedes 1.16 · 98 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Laval attack 1.15 + Clermont Foot defence 1.16 → ÷2 → 1.15

Clermont Foot attack 0.99 + Laval defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.09

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

Laval scores more

37%

level

29%

Clermont Foot scores more

34%

Laval at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Laval will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

28

J. Maggiotti

Laval · M

7.5

Match Events

23'

J. Gastien← H. Saivet

26'

Titouan Thomas

67'

O. Diop← L. Socka Bongue

68'

J. Astic← I. Fakili

71'

E. Clavreul← M. Camara

77'

W. Benard← T. Thomas

77'

N. Mupemba← M. Sellouki

84'

Noa Mupemba

88'

M. Commaret← T. Vargas

88'

A. Faurand-Tournaire← M. Tchokounte

90'

M. Donavin← C. O. Konate

90+1'

Y. Bellache← H. Keita

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

LavalClermont

Overview

49%Possession51%

10Total Shots11

13Corners5

12Fouls5

Shots

10Total Shots11

6On Target0

3Off Target5

1Blocked6

7Inside Box5

3Outside Box6

Passing

49%Possession51%

426Total Passes460

378Accurate Passes396

89%Pass Accuracy86%

Goalkeeping

0Saves5

Discipline

12Fouls5

2Yellow Cards0

1Offsides0